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2024-03-06 12:55:00 ET Summary Fed Chair Jay Powell's testimony to Congress suggests an inclination to cut interest rates to a more neutral level. But with inflation still above target and the activity data beating expectations, the central bank isn't in a position to do so. M...
2024-03-06 10:50:00 ET Summary One of the more noteworthy stories for the money and bond markets thus far in 2024 is the changing perception of the Fed policy outlook. While Fed officials continue to acknowledge that rate cuts seem likely later this year, a more recent development...
2024-03-06 09:05:00 ET Summary Fed Chair Jerome Powell is scheduled to testify in the House on Mar. 6 and markets will be all ears on topics that offer guidance on the outlook for interest rate cuts. The current consensus anticipates that the central bank will begin easing policy ...
2024-03-06 06:30:00 ET Summary China's National People's Congress convened this week and set a growth target of 5%. There are rumors that the US Federal Reserve’s March dot plot will show expectations for an average of only two rate cuts in 2024. Bank of Japan (BOJ) off...
2024-03-06 00:00:00 ET Summary The all-important M2 money supply continues to come back into line with long-term trends, key inflation measures are very close to the Fed's target, and money demand is returning to pre-Covid levels. The service sector (dominated by housing-related c...
2024-02-25 11:52:00 ET Summary Investment-grade CDS traded down to 51 bps Thursday, the low back to December 31, 2021. High yield CDS sank to 336 bps, the low since February 1, 2022. Nvidia added $155 billion of market capitalization (reaching $2 TN), as stocks surged further into...
2024-02-24 02:08:00 ET Summary The first part of the body of the minutes focused on evidence regarding the current state of the economy, employment, and inflation. The most interesting part of the minutes related to how participants viewed the economy and the appropriate path for ...
2024-02-22 12:30:00 ET Summary Both US Consumer Price Index and US Producer Price Index data for January were hotter than expected, but it was no cause for concern, in my opinion. The most recent gross domestic product prints for Japan and the UK show that both economies were tech...
2024-02-21 11:11:00 ET Summary The latest inflation data is sticky, but the markets have only delayed rather than canceled expectations for that the Federal Reserve will start trimming interest rates in the near future. The Treasury market continues to price in rate cuts as well, ...
2024-02-21 00:04:00 ET Summary Clearly, the markets believe the next move will be toward lower rates, but no one should be surprised by the fact that a rate increase is possible. Two years ago, almost no one correctly forecast the recent path of interest rates. Recent policy e...
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2024-05-24 19:36:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-14 19:56:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-05 01:34:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...