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2024-04-27 06:25:00 ET Summary The 10yr minus 3mo Treasury rate (Yield Curve) is moving higher at a rapid pace as investors adjust their inflation thinking to being more persistent in the 3-4% range. 88% of portfolio managers in the Bank of America Fund Managers Survey last week b...
2024-04-06 02:30:00 ET Summary We think the Fed peaked in July 2023. Technically, we won’t know for sure until they cut. But, had a Martian alien landed on Earth and simply eyeballed the current movement of the 10yr yield, they’d likely conclude that the Fed had not ...
2024-03-16 09:10:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-16 00:55:00 ET Summary In the face of impending Federal Reserve rate cuts, investors may want to consider extending duration from Treasury bills to short-term bonds. Surprisingly, the coupon on short-term bonds does not fall after the Fed begins cutting rates, whereas the ...
2024-03-15 11:45:00 ET Summary With the Federal Reserve potentially easing as early as June, generous money market yields may be fleeting, posing the question of where else investors can “lock in” high levels of income. In an easing rate environment, the notable down...
2024-03-13 12:54:36 ET More on USAA Core Short-Term Bond ETF Seeking Alpha’s Quant Rating on USAA Core Short-Term Bond ETF Dividend scorecard for USAA Core Short-Term Bond ETF Read the full article on Seeking Alpha For further details see: VictoryS...
2024-03-13 10:50:00 ET Summary The combination of the ISM Manufacturing New Orders Index and the yield curve has been warning of imminent recession since September 2023. The March 2024 new high for the SPX suggests that a recession will not start any sooner than May 2024. By o...
2024-03-08 09:15:00 ET Summary The current yield curve inversion has turned out to be the longest and deepest inversion in 50 years, lasting 18 months and several times hitting negative 100 basis points. The Fed's actions were in response to runaway inflation that turned out to be...
2024-02-14 20:16:00 ET Summary There is a belief that whatever happens to the Fed Funds Rate will be passed along to the Treasury yield curve in a similar fashion. A maturity structure that is not too far removed from the Fed Funds Rate will be anchored and directly linked to tren...
2024-02-07 03:18:00 ET Summary The recent congressional continuing resolutions have slightly dampened the extremes, but most of the extraordinary spread is still in the marketplace. In my opinion, the benefit of higher interest rates flows to the buyer of a tax-free municipal bond...
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2024-03-16 09:10:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-01-12 07:02:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2023-12-28 20:15:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...