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2023-06-03 02:19:00 ET Summary The Fed saw a reduction in its balance sheet of $177M. The majority of this was actually in Treasuries with less than 1-year maturity, totaling $102B. MBS fell short of the $35B reduction target yet again, seeing only $17.6B roll off the balance shee...
2023-06-02 00:30:00 ET Summary The Treasury yield curve is expected to return to a positive slope, with short-maturity yields below longer maturity yields. Despite strong nonfarm payroll reports, weaker numbers could emerge in the next few months due to a weakening manufacturing s...
2023-05-22 02:10:00 ET Summary With mega-cap tech / growth up 25.95% this year), the semiconductor group is being pulled higher with it, despite the memory-related names still being in a tough downcycle. Inflation data has heated up (or at least not cooled down enough to the Fed...
2023-05-20 01:00:00 ET Summary Could massive monetary support have softened the deep bear market many expected? It is an interesting question. Particularly given the Fed has hiked rates at one of the most aggressive paces in history. Combined with inverted yield curves, surgin...
2023-05-18 04:19:01 ET Summary VictoryShares Short-Term Bond ETF is a fixed-income exchange-traded fund. The vehicle has a low duration of only 1.8 years and focuses on the short end of the curve. The fund is mostly investment-grade, with a small bucket for not rated issuers a...
2023-05-17 13:53:00 ET Summary Warnings that the US economy is close to the tipping point for recession have endured for months, but the expansion keeps surprising on the upside. More of the same is likely for the immediate future, and perhaps longer. Economists are debating why t...
2023-05-10 01:05:00 ET Summary Economists have been forecasting a recession would happen since the Federal Reserve (Fed) started raising interest rates back in March 2022. The federal funds rate has risen almost 500 basis points since last year, as the Fed has aggressively attacke...
2023-05-03 01:55:00 ET Summary Leading indicators of recession continue to worsen, as do many financial/credit metrics, but the economy stubbornly refuses to decline. Inflation continued to be elevated in March and, importantly, remained well above the Fed’s long-term goal ...
2023-05-02 06:01:01 ET The yields on the shortest end of the Treasury curve spiked sharply Tuesday on concern that the debt ceiling X date is less than a month away. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen said Monday the U.S. could run out of extraordinary measures to pay the government's bill...
2023-05-01 13:10:00 ET Summary It appears the recession is right around the corner. As the recession begins, the yield curves will begin to steepen. The 2s10s have started but the 3m10s has not budged. The market can stay irrational for a long time, but in addition, this is th...
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2024-07-25 07:24:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-24 19:38:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-05 01:36:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...