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2023-09-06 03:15:00 ET Summary We rationalise why US longer tenor rates are rising – basically, the curve is inverted and getting used to discounting structurally higher rates. If so, reversion to a normal curve must mean dis-inversion from the back end. When something ...
2023-08-28 15:55:00 ET Summary The economic debate shifted gears with diminishing concerns about a recession, leading U.S. long-term Treasury yields to rise sharply. The net result was a less inverted U.S. yield curve, not because short-term interest rates fell, but because long-t...
2023-08-23 21:05:00 ET Summary A rising Yield Curve is what we are seeing today. The turn higher began after hitting what appears to be the low point,-1.89%, on May 4, 2023. Consensus opinion is that investing is all about calling the bottom in the S&P 500 or some other asset ...
2023-08-22 10:05:00 ET Summary Last week, the 10-year US Treasury yield rose to levels not seen since 2008, and that had significant implications for stocks. I was encouraged by what we heard on earnings calls for major retailers last week, as they confirmed my positive views on c...
2023-08-19 02:30:00 ET Summary The Jackson Hole meetings come at a particularly poignant time this year, because there is a great deal going on in securities markets and the economy at large. It took more than a year, but it finally seems to have sunk into the collective brain of ...
2023-08-15 11:00:00 ET Summary The market is showing signs of weakness and lacks sustainable upside momentum. The recent sell-off has broken key moving averages, indicating a potential shift in market sentiment. The market's reaction to economic news, such as CPI data, suggest...
2023-08-11 13:36:31 ET VictoryShares USAA Core Short-Term Bond ETF ( NASDAQ: USTB ) - $0.2441 . Payable Aug 10; for shareholders of record Aug 09; ex-div Aug 08. For further details see: VictoryShares USAA Core Short-Term Bond ETF declares monthly distribution of...
2023-08-07 18:55:00 ET Summary The stock market was down a little over 2% last week in what may be the start of a larger correction. In the 1970 recession, rates rose right until the onset of recession and hit a new high for that cycle during the recession. The employment repo...
2023-08-06 02:50:00 ET Summary Fitch Ratings downgraded the US government's credit rating to AA+ from AAA, citing the large government deficit and the standoff over the debt ceiling. The downgrade is reminiscent of the 2011 downgrade by Standard & Poor's, which led to a drop i...
2023-08-03 09:00:00 ET Summary The US money supply contracted at a slightly slower pace during the latest month for which there are monetary data. Continuing the QT program at the current rate would remove about $380B from the money supply over the remainder of this year. One ...
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2024-07-25 07:24:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-24 19:38:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-05 01:36:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...