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2023-11-06 09:00:00 ET Summary The market decided last week that interest rates have peaked for this cycle. And if rates have peaked then all the assets that have been pressured over the last two years can finally come up for air. Whether the Fed’s rate hikes really caused ...
2023-11-03 23:00:00 ET Summary Long rates are now near 5%, resulting in mortgage rates now above 8.5% on average for a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage and over 7.6% on a 15-year fixed-rate mortgage. As for inflation, Chairman Powell repeatedly emphasized that progress was being made b...
2023-11-03 01:25:00 ET Summary The nonfarm payroll employment unexpectedly jumped in September. The increase of 336,000 was the largest since January, and it was accompanied by upward revisions to the prior two months. The 12-month trend rate for the overall price index for person...
2023-11-01 09:05:00 ET Summary Historically, investors have been better served adding to their equity portfolios at the start of conflicts rather than reducing exposure or simply staying the course. How has the US stock market historically performed in the one year after the Fed e...
2023-10-31 14:50:00 ET Summary Since July, the probability of a recession starting sometime in the next 12 months has declined. However, the U.S. treasury yield curve is still inverted and the probability of recession remains elevated. The Recession Probability Track indicates...
2023-10-30 07:45:20 ET This week's FOMC announcement on interest rates would typically be the big-name event for investors, but not this time around. While a Fed hike in December is up for debate, no one expects the central bank to raise rates this week, especially given recent economic dat...
2023-10-24 08:41:00 ET Related stories The Budget Deficit: Increasing At A Challenging Pace, And The Impact On TLT Fed Focus, Loving + Hating Earnings Season, Bonds Competing With Stocks U.S. Treasury returns set for worst month this year; Ackman short bet pays off ...
2023-10-24 03:21:00 ET Summary While some argue that inflation remains a concern in 2023, it certainly is trending in the right direction. The consensus is that 2023 will witness a small decline in corporate earnings but then improve again as we move into Q4 and 2024. Credit s...
2023-10-23 11:05:00 ET Summary Yields on the US 10-year are up nearly 150bp since April, within touching distance of 5%, and 30-year yields are now just over 5%, up from 3.7% in April. The two-year yield is up just 100bp over the same period. The yield curve has bear-steepened by ...
2023-10-18 20:55:00 ET Summary With all the attention given to the recent surge in Treasury (UST) yields, there has been an interesting by-product in the process: steepening yield curves. Remember when inverted yield curves were all the rage, and their historical track record was ...
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2024-05-24 19:38:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-05 01:36:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-16 09:10:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...