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2024-03-15 11:45:00 ET Summary With the Federal Reserve potentially easing as early as June, generous money market yields may be fleeting, posing the question of where else investors can “lock in” high levels of income. In an easing rate environment, the notable down...
2024-03-13 12:54:36 ET More on USAA Core Short-Term Bond ETF Seeking Alpha’s Quant Rating on USAA Core Short-Term Bond ETF Dividend scorecard for USAA Core Short-Term Bond ETF Read the full article on Seeking Alpha For further details see: VictoryS...
2024-03-13 10:50:00 ET Summary The combination of the ISM Manufacturing New Orders Index and the yield curve has been warning of imminent recession since September 2023. The March 2024 new high for the SPX suggests that a recession will not start any sooner than May 2024. By o...
2024-03-08 09:15:00 ET Summary The current yield curve inversion has turned out to be the longest and deepest inversion in 50 years, lasting 18 months and several times hitting negative 100 basis points. The Fed's actions were in response to runaway inflation that turned out to be...
2024-02-14 20:16:00 ET Summary There is a belief that whatever happens to the Fed Funds Rate will be passed along to the Treasury yield curve in a similar fashion. A maturity structure that is not too far removed from the Fed Funds Rate will be anchored and directly linked to tren...
2024-02-07 03:18:00 ET Summary The recent congressional continuing resolutions have slightly dampened the extremes, but most of the extraordinary spread is still in the marketplace. In my opinion, the benefit of higher interest rates flows to the buyer of a tax-free municipal bond...
2024-02-06 07:05:00 ET Summary The US economy is ok - credit spreads are still quite low, liquidity is still abundant, the dollar is still strong, inflation is still declining, and there are only a few indicators that suggest caution. Owning short-term risk-free assets today has b...
2024-01-30 11:35:00 ET Summary The US 10-2-year Treasury yield spread has moved from a deep inversion at 108 bps last July to -14 bps as of January 25, 2024. Re-steepening of the yield curve has historically coincided with rising unemployment claims. For stocks, corporate debt...
2024-01-25 02:30:00 ET Summary While treasury rates, across maturities, jumped dramatically in 2022, their behavior diverged in 2023. The yield curve has been inverted for all of 2023, in all of its variations. If inflation continues its downward path, it is likely that we wil...
2024-01-22 15:40:00 ET Summary The General Business Conditions index fell to -43.7, a depth only exceeded by the -78.2 reading in April of 2020 with the economy shut down for COVID. New orders (-49.4 vs -11.3) and shipments (-31.3 vs -6.4) also posted sharp declines and unfilled o...
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2024-05-24 19:38:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-05 01:36:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-16 09:10:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...