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The yield on 30-year Treasurys has gone where no 30-year Treasury yield has gone before: below 2% . More news on: iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF, ProShares UltraShort 20+ Year Treasury ETF, Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bear 3x Shares ETF, News on the U.S. economy, Top stock market...
Earlier this year, there was a series of articles by fellow SA author Alan Longbon , which explained that, because the debt ceiling prevented the Treasury from issuing new Treasury securities into the market, the banks were forced into stiffer competition in the secondary bond market and th...
Tyler Cowen linked to an interesting article on China's financial situation: The government's dramatic about-face from encouraging aggressive overseas acquisitions to cracking down on risky lending and overseas transfers underscores worries over the risk that the nation could run short of...
By Krishna Memani, Vice Chairman of Investments You can count me as surprised. But not for why you are thinking - that the ticker tape is not looking very good now or that safe assets are rallying. When the two largest economies of the world are firing warning shots across each other's...
This is not a year in which investors have needed to hedge their equity risk. As of this writing, stocks have not only rallied, they've rallied with a consistency last seen in 2017, at least until the last day of July and the first of August. But as investors look to protect gains and season...
There's nothing wrong with central banks paying negative interest rates on bank reserves. There is something very wrong with a monetary regime that causes equilibrium nominal interest rates to end up negative. That's one way of thinking about my recent Econlog post . Yahoo has an interesti...
Nina Karnaukh of Ohio State sent along this lovely graph of the 6-month Fed Funds futures around the beginning of August. Read this as the market's guess about what is happening to the Federal Funds rate over the next 6 months. The first drop in price occurs with the FOMC announcement at 2 P...
It was nearly five years ago, in late 2014, that I wrote a piece titled, " Here's Why The Long Bond Could Be About To Blast Off ." At the time, I argued that the combination of relative value and extreme negative sentiment was very constructive for bond prices. And it wasn't long before this i...
My first day on Wall Street. It is breathtaking, just breathtaking. Never before, ever, in the history of the world, going back over 2,000 years, has there ever been negative yielding debt before. For millennia, the debtor paid the lender interest to receive money. "Different this Time," doe...
While most of the economics profession seems to assume that a Fed cut in interest rates means money is getting easier, policy has dramatically tightened in recent weeks. Perhaps the most startling data point is the expected level of interest rates in the Fed Funds futures market , which has...
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2024-07-25 07:24:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-24 19:38:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-05 01:36:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...