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Following a series of repurchase operations that were supposed to be temporary, last week Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell apparently felt that the liquidity issue had not yet been solved. As he said , "Indeed, my colleagues and I will soon announce measures to add to the supply of ...
Measuring The Backup In Interest Rates - Is This 2016? Since early September, after enjoying a historic rally, long-term Treasury rates have become increasingly volatile, rising nearly 30 basis points on the benchmark 30-year yield. Before deconstructing the move higher in Treasury rates,...
Editor's note: Originally published at tsi-blog.com on Oct. 15, 2019 We regularly look at what's happening with monetary inflation around the world, but today we'll focus exclusively on the US monetary inflation rate. This is because of the recent evidence that the unusually-lo...
The Fed’s reluctant decision to flood the overnight market with cash in the coming months was surely a surprise, even for monetary policymakers. As explained in the last article , the run-up in repo rates of September was no surprise to market veterans. Repo run-ups around statement da...
By Matthew Sheridan As economic cycles enter their later stages, investors sometimes find that they're taking too much risk to generate income. There's a strategy that can help - and we think now is the time to use it. Pairing high-yield corporate bonds and other credit assets with high-...
Federal Reserve officials got a little “shock” in the banking week ending September 18, 2019. The reserve deposits that the commercial banks hold at Federal Reserve banks, surprisingly dropped below $1.4 trillion . This surprise caused Fed officials to go into “alert&...
Two weeks ago, many were worried about the market “bump” that the Federal Reserve had to deal with. The market disturbance came in the area of repurchase agreements and the Fed responded quickly, and, in my opinion, kept things quiet although some analysts wanted to make a bigger...
After constantly running through what the FOMC gets (very) wrong , let's give them some credit for what they got right. Though this will end up as a backhanded compliment, still. After having spent all of 2018 forecasting accelerating inflation indices, from around New Year's Day forward poli...
Ahead of Thursday’s September report on US consumer inflation, the Treasury market’s implied inflation forecast via 5-year maturities quietly ticked down to 1.24% in Wednesday’s trading (based on daily data via Treasury.gov). The crowd’s estimate of future pricing p...
By Gerhardt (Gary) P. Herbert, CFA Last week, I explained how Federal Reserve (Fed) balance sheet expansion could send 10-year Treasury yields toward zero over the next few years. While that notion may seem far-fetched to some, my point was to highlight why quantitative easing isn't a pana...
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2024-07-25 07:24:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-24 19:38:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-05 01:36:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...