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Editor's note: Originally published at tsi-blog.com on November 18, 2019. In a blog post in early September , I noted that the 10-year TIPS (Treasury Inflation Protected Security) yield had just gone negative and that the previous two times that this proxy for the real interest rate wen...
TD strategists expect no central banks in the Group of 10 to raise interest rates in 2020, the first time the bank has forecast that scenario in at least 10 years. More news on: Invesco CurrencyShares Australian Dollar Trust ETF, ProShares Trust II - ProShares UltraShort Australian Dollar,...
Originally posted on November 13, 2019 By Eric Winograd Transcript At its last meeting, the Federal Reserve gave a pretty clear signal that they don't intend to cut interest rates in December. They've cut rates three times in a row now, for a total of 75 basis points. And their ...
"You've always had the power to go back to Kansas." - the Good Witch of the East, to Dorothy, in The Wizard of Oz . (This is the conclusion of a two-part essay. For Part 1 click here .) Equipped with some historical background, we can now consider ways in which the Fed might ge...
The U.S. Treasury on Thursday will auction $12 billion in a reopening of CUSIP 9128287D6 , creating a 9-year, 8-month Treasury Inflation-Protected Security. This TIPS was created in an originating auction on July 18, with a real yield to maturity (at that time) of 0.282% and a resulting cou...
Enough has happened in credit markets that I figured it was time to update charts. The long end of the curve has moved up a bit, which has led to some expressions of relief. I'm not sure we're totally out of the weeds. The entire curve has moved up from its lows by about 1/2%. That's mildly ...
Henry Curr is the economics editor for The Economist magazine, and the author of a special report by the magazine on the phenomenon of low inflation now facing the global economy. Henry joins Macro Musings today to outline this report and the big questions surrounding low inflation. Dav...
The recent rise in Treasury yields has largely been a rising breakeven inflation story. Admittedly, it was not a large move, but the 10-year breakeven appears to have bounced off the 1.5% level. (The 10-year breakeven inflation rate is the nominal Treasury yield less the quoted yield on the ...
By Krishna Memani, Vice Chairman of Investments Last week the US Federal Reserve cut rates by 25 basis points. Not much of a surprise there. Rate markets had been pricing in a cut with near certainty. In the press conference, Fed Chair Jay Powell emphasized that the Fed is unlikely t...
How much higher can bond yields go before equities are knocked off their perch? That's a question that's likely to be on the lips of many market participants in the weeks ahead assuming all signs continue to point to an interim trade agreement between the world's two largest economies. Ov...
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2024-07-25 07:24:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-24 19:38:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-05 01:36:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...