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Take a good look at March 26's moves in long-term US Treasury yields, because chances are you won't see moves of this magnitude again soon. Let's start with the yield on the 30-year US Treasury. March 26's decline of 29 basis points in the yield will go down as the largest one-day decline in t...
Long-dated paper may go on sale soon. So, what's going on with interest rates? Well, that depends on what interest rates you care about. Since the top of the year, short rates have snugged up a bit, but at the long end of the yield curve, rates have dropped precipitously. When you were nur...
Looking at a select set of recent economic releases suggests the US economy is humming along, providing room for the Federal Reserve to let current monetary policy glide forward on autopilot. But a closer look at key trends in the Treasury market and the monetary base - along with the economic...
By Jim Iuorio For several months, Fed watchers have engaged in a debate about whether or not the Fed's repo market operations are equal to quantitative easing. It's a fun discussion, but in the end, I don't think it matters. What does matter is that the Fed appears willing to ac...
By Scott DiMaggio and Eric Winograd TRANSCRIPT: This video is the first in a series on bond investing late in the cycle. Scott DiMaggio : Eric, the Fed balance sheet is back in focus in financial markets for the past couple of months. The Fed has expanded the size of the balance ...
The inflation story in Canada and the United States has not been particularly exciting for some time, and I am not in a position to argue that this will change anytime soon. I just want to update a chart that I think is extremely useful when discussing the alleged external constraint on floati...
The U.S. Federal Reserve held rates steady amid a strong economy, but sees potential global risks including the viral outbreak in China. Anthony Okolie talks with James Marple, Senior Economist, TD Bank Group. Original Read more ...
Bonds had a good year in 2019. The Bloomberg Barclays Aggregate US Bond Index returned 8.72%, its best performance in 17 years. Source: Bloomberg The 8.72% gain exceeded the average annual returns for the past 5-, 10-, 20- and 30-year periods of 3.05%, 3.75%, 5.03% and 5.91%, respectively....
Back in the days of QE, I noticed a pattern that during QEs, the expected future date of the first rate hike would remain relatively level, but when QEs were stopped, the expected future date of the first rate hike would move ahead in time. In other words, if the first rate hike was expected...
By James J. Clarke How do we think about a world of ultra-low interest rates as equity investors? To us, interest rates are much more than determining what discount rate to use in a valuation model. At extreme levels, the rate environment introduces distortions that impact management behav...
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2024-07-25 07:24:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-24 19:38:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-05 01:36:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...