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European bond prices have an unmistakable correlation to European COVID infections. The strategy of ensuring the banking system remains well capitalized - while letting market-based finance run wild - may have plausible theoretical underpinnings. The "penalty rate" issue is key to...
There are continuing political and pandemic stories that could dominate the news cycle at any time. Many of the normal economic indicators are not helpful in the wake of the COVID lockdown decline. Retail sales improved 1.9% in September, beating expectations of a 0.6% gain and Au...
The question of the week in bond-land is, "what will the impact of the 'blue wave' be?" In one scenario, a potential higher tax, increased regulatory environment and less "business-friendly" setting could result in slower economic growth. However, in scenario #2, the removal of gr...
The AIER Everyday Price Index rose 0.2 percent for the month of September, faster than the 0.1 percent rise in the Consumer Price Index (on a not seasonally adjusted basis). The largest positive contributors to the rise in the index in September were intracity transportation, food awa...
The dip-buyers are now just 2.9% away from making a new market high. The earnings recession continues, but forward estimates look rosy. Big Tech has lost some of its mojo. For further details see: The 1-Minute Market Report - October 9, 2020
The inherent problem of tying your Presidency to the stock market is that it's all fine until it isn't. The market rallied on what is for now "hope" of more stimulus. There is still no deal on Capitol Hill, and the parties are still far apart primarily on funding for states and munici...
At least for now, for the markets it's weirder the better. With Biden's lead appearing increasingly insurmountable (with less than four weeks to go), we can assume there was this week significant buying associated with the partial reversal of market hedges. Chairman Powell made hi...
History has taught us to pay attention to the last three months prior to election day as a potential sign of things to come. Whenever the S&P 500 has been higher in the three months leading up to election day, the incumbent candidate won in 20 out of 23 elections. We don't yet...
It doesn't take much to set reflation expectations on fire these days. With US interest rates near zero (or negative in some parts of the world), a mild uptick in yields inspires a new round of forecasts that a sustained run of higher inflation has finally started. The immediate c...
Some earnings and revenue growth data was going to be added on the Financial sector, but given the drop in the 10-year Treasury this morning, with the 10-year Treasury yield now at 74 bps, a post dedicated to worries about rising interest rates made more sense. A steepening yield curv...
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2024-07-25 07:24:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-24 19:38:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-05 01:36:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...