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A divided government is probably the best scenario for the fixed-income markets. The Fed’s announcements that it is going to be highly supportive of a market, lower for longer, have provided a lot of stability to the fixed-income markets and some predictability. We haven't ...
If we live long enough, almost all of life's activities are cyclical, alternating from favorable to unfavorable. The name of the game is to be able to participate in the favorable. Economic and stock market cycles are not identical, but they tend to "rhyme". If stock prices do their j...
Positive COVID-19 vaccine developments give us greater confidence in the activity restart, and may make it easier for policy support to bridge the income gap. The vaccine news sparked a sharp rotation into value and small-cap stocks that fizzled later in the week when near-term virus ...
Much of the drop in the stated core CPI number is coming from declining rent inflation (or shelter inflation). Real-time data suggests that much of this appears to be related to some amount of exodus from expensive cities like San Francisco and New York City. However, declining CP...
The yield curve has taken a strong bullish move as a result of the election and the COVID-19 vaccine progress. The long end of the Eurodollar curve is nearly back to the pre-COVID level. The Fed probably still has room for more traditional accommodation. For further details ...
On Monday, the announcement by Pfizer sent markets screaming higher. However, it wasn't like rallies we had seen previously. Instead, it was a fierce rotation from the previous leaders to laggards. Given the more overbought condition, we expect a one- to two-week correction at the beg...
Monday's Pfizer announcement followed pivotal elections by only a few trading sessions - an election I have posited as the most hedged individual event ever. Markets were already in a state of acute instability prior to the news, having been spurred sharply higher by the unwind of hedges ...
I retain my call stated in the Q4 outlook, published September 21, 2020, for oil, treasury and equity prices to decline with the USD rising. Thus far in Q4, I am correct on oil and Treasury yields. Largely flat to slight miss currently on equities and the US dollar. The Fed cannot...
I think it's safe to say, last week more than lived up to expectations. We may never see a US election like it again. What is remarkable is how relaxed traders have been throughout. Many expect the central bank to announce further easing measures in December, once the election is reso...
After reducing equity risk in portfolios over the last few weeks, we suggested last week the "selling" was likely overdone. It was quite the reversal. The rally pushed the market back above the 50-dma and lower highs' previous downtrend. Such sets the market up for a retest of all-tim...
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2024-07-25 07:24:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-24 19:38:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-05 01:36:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...