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A long history of extremely low yields in Japan suggests that low yields do not necessarily map to low returns. Amid the dramatic sell-off in risk assets in March 2020 as the global pandemic took hold, and again in September 2020 when equity markets pulled back sharply, government bon...
As our latest Asset Allocation Outlook discusses in detail, we expect profit growth will accelerate, and the improvement in fundamentals should bode well for risk markets and cyclical assets in particular. We remain overweight equities in our multi-asset portfolios and select areas of...
Every asset seems to be soaring in demand or price, since there is so much cash sloshing around the system, thanks to the Federal Reserve and the Treasury printing so much new cash in support of various Congressional stimulus packages since last March. For the most part, this money wa...
The yield curve looks pretty good. Long-term rates still are recovering. The expected date of the first short-term rate hike also appears to be coming closer. For further details see: December 2020 Yield Curve
The 10-year breakeven inflation rate returned to its 2018 level this week. The higher rate could mean people may think inflation will return soon – and the odds are it will. Economists argue that inflation expectations tend to be self-fulfilling. So, if the market sees infl...
The TIPS rate along with a minimally higher 10-year is declared proof positive the Fed has been successful at its inflation engineering when there's everything here (including oil, too) to contradict that assessment. Inflation expectations right now are the highest in years while at t...
Investors who have heavy exposure to the U.S. dollar via bonds, money market funds, and the like, may need to reset their portfolios before inflation wrecks their value. Similarly, those who hold stocks because they believe "TINA" (there is no alternative) shouldn't assume they will b...
Large cap growth and mid-cap growth saw the return differentials narrow between it and "value" the last 12 weeks, but the longer-term return differential has been substantial favoring growth since 2017. The 12-week total return in mid-cap in Q4 '20 was 22% and in small-cap it was 28.6...
With the exception of broadly defined commodities and US and foreign property shares, global markets posted solid gains last year. US stocks were the top 2020 performers, with the Russell 3000 Index surging 20.9% last year. US REITs saw the deepest loss for the major asset classes...
The President-elect has mentioned countless themes that will call for additional Treasury bonds to be issued. The cost in interest, alone, will be significant. The yields on America's sovereign debt will not go unnoticed, and the push will be on for the Fed to lower our interest rates...
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2024-07-25 07:24:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-24 19:38:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-05 01:36:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...