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Even though the major indexes were decidedly lower, the New York Stock Exchange Advance Decline line (NYAD) delivered an up day. I recently recommended purchasing shares of homebuilder Hovnanian Enterprises (HOV) as the stock looks poised to break out from its recent trading range. ...
When looking at bond yields, one should keep in mind that the entire yield curve is a mathematical object. We cannot model yield curve tenors as stand-alone time series; we need to enforce sensible relationships along the curve. This has the side effect that we can predict yields ...
COVID turned out to be quite the economic event, and a pandemic under control promises to deliver a recovering economy by the end of 2021. On the other hand, should the vaccinations not go according to plan and the pandemic is not declining by June 2021, the economy may not recover at...
After a dramatic "risk-on" rotation beginning in early 2020, we greet the new year with a technically oversold US currency and overbought stock market. In other words, investor positioning has become lopsided, arguing that a countertrend bounce in the "greenback" and near-term drawdow...
With Treasuries blowing right through the 100% of GDP milepost - and likely poised to reach 125% within the next year or two - there's no time like the present to recognize our nation is in serious fiscal trouble. The pandemic is not close to my greatest worry. These days I have great...
In the past few months, the surge in commodity prices has led to rising concerns over an unexpected rise in long-term inflation expectations. Most of participants are expecting higher global CPI prints in the month to come. However, the pre-Covid-19 symptoms (demographic, disrupti...
The wild swings in government bond yields that characterized most of 2020 were largely muted in December. Finland's 10-year government bond yield saw the largest movement, falling by more than 5 basis points to finish at -0.44%. Australian 10-year bond yield increased by more than...
Last week, the 10-year Treasury bond yield continued to rise, as last Tuesday's bond auction had a lackluster bid-to-cover ratio of 2.47. This means that the Fed is going to have to do more quantitative easing or the federal government is going to have to curtail its spending. The Fed...
The speculative "V" is one of the most interesting and challenging features of the market cycle. I continue to expect a loss in the S&P 500 on the order of 65-70% over the completion of the current market cycle. Somehow, policymakers have come to imagine that the paper value o...
The state of the stock market, bond market and interest rates. Relative Strength investing and investing in the " playoff teams". Post-election year seasonality and what to pay attention to in 2021. For further details see: 2021 Market Outlook - The Fed, Stimulus, Season...
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2024-07-25 07:24:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-24 19:38:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-05 01:36:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...