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Factors driving US inflation higher. Roy: I see inflation rising in the next 12 months. Roy: Exposure to growth stocks is important. For further details see: Navigating Financial Markets As Inflationary Pressures Loom On The Horizon
Trading so far this week has been characterised by a cautious tone that has seen US Treasuries weaken after their early April rally and stock markets retreat from all-time highs. In the case of a less-dovish FOMC, even a pullback in stocks or high yield bond valuations might not preve...
The Federal Reserve's balance sheet has reached $7.82 trillion at last count. Expanding at roughly $120 billion a month, it will be over $8 trillion by the end of this quarter, if the Fed's bond purchases remain on target. My guess is that some type of shakeout is coming for the broad...
Discussing five growth areas, along with ways in which we can make money as passive investors. Inflation is clearly brewing, due mostly to "demand push" inflation for many high-demand goods, such as homes, vehicles, and now workers (via wages). If the long-term capital gains tax r...
We stick to our pro-risk stance and tweak our tactical views as the U.S. leads a powerful global economic restart and our new nominal theme plays out. Stocks were little changed on the week as markets digested strong first-quarter earnings reports and bond yields eased. The Federa...
Much has been made this week about Joe Biden's tax plan that would increase the capital gains rate into the 50% area. We think it is much ado over nothing. It seems as if every investment banking house on the street is bearish; we don't blame them, as valuations have gotten historical...
I joined Daniel Lacalle to discuss why markets are mistaken in pricing in a massive economic expansion. We unpack many of the mainstream myths on narratives driving markets and why outcomes will be no different than in the past. The discussion covers a lot of ground, including cor...
Current economic data is certainly strong - although not universally so - but the bond and currency markets may be pointing to some weakness ahead. The copper to gold ratio which peaked in early March, leading bond yields by a full month, has recently resumed its uptrend. The comm...
Sell the old economy (cyclical), value and anything considered risky (small cap), buy large cap, dependable growth (tech), i.e., the bulletproof, the innovators. Valuation doesn't matter - you just need to be somewhere with immunity to the economic ravages of the renewed pandemic. ...
I believe that those investing in the broad stock market indexes are taking a lot of risk right now, and that it would serve them well to hold some bonds. At present, the 10-year Treasury note is priced to return 1.57%/year. The concept of avoiding a bigger loss is a tough one for...
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2024-07-25 07:24:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-24 19:38:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-05 01:36:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...