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The latest inflation numbers are out, up 0.64% from April to May (7.7% annualized), on top of 0.77% (9.2% annualized) from March to April. Not all inflation is the same, and what you experience depends on what you buy and where you buy it. The current surge of inflation is concent...
May CPI inflation surprised on the upside, with month-on-month 0.6% vs. 0.4% Bloomberg consensus. May’s 0.6% month-on-month is below April’s 0.8%, highlighting the decline in high-frequency inflation. If one calculates the longer-horizon inflation rates, one can see ...
US rates have snapped lower. It had been brewing. Over a half a trillion was returned to the Fed at 0% yesterday, as excess liquidity seeks a home for the night. The bond market sees this as a run on rates, and not a driver of a macro boom. Meanwhile, the ECB has removed a key ris...
Consumer price inflation jumped 0.6%MoM in May, after recording 0.8% increases in April and 0.6% in March. Core inflation jumped even more, gaining 0.7%MoM after rising 0.9% in April. The stimulus-fueled economy is booming. However, the pandemic has led to scarring in the economy that...
With input costs rising sharply, the rise in consumer price inflation has only just begun. As shortages and supply chain disruptions are priced through to consumers, goods inflation is set to trend higher. We still believe the impact will be temporary, but in the US less so than i...
The ease lower in market rates continues to pose questions about the extent of the inflation risk ahead; but also reflects liquidity seeking a home. As dovish expectations build ahead of the ECB meeting, more issuers have decided to make use of the benign primary market conditions. ...
If the Federal Reserve’s recent intervention in both the stock and the bond markets is more extreme than Ben Bernanke’s, doesn’t that mean the reaction to any future tapering would be more extreme, too? It sure could be, given the subdued volatility we have seen i...
According to the US Treasury, the federal government owes $28.2 trillion. The debt was just under $25 trillion at the end of April a year ago. Purchasing power is strong, indeed. However, government debt is on an unsustainable trajectory. What if debtors could replace their dollar...
We expect the European Central Bank to maintain its current pace of asset purchases even though the economic restart is gaining momentum. U.S. nonfarm payrolls growth picked up in May. We caution against extrapolating too much from erratic near-term data amid a powerful restart. U...
The latest leading economic data indicate that the recovery is intact and that the strong GDP growth reported for the first quarter of this year will continue. We were looking for the US economy to recover rapidly during the second half of 2020, level off during the first half of 2021...
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2024-07-25 07:24:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-24 19:38:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-05 01:36:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...