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The final regional Fed manufacturing survey of the month was out this week with the release of Dallas Fed's manufacturing survey. General business activity rose 5.6 points in September to 13.6. That marks back to back months with expansionary activity since August and September of...
Flash PMIs for September 2020 around the world add more evidence to the possibility of a global slowdown during the economy's all-important rebound quarter. Credit spreads are up modestly again, having already plateaued somewhat around late July. July economic concerns continue, t...
The latest index came in at 11, down 3 from last month's 14, which indicates expansion in September. The future outlook decreased from 19 last month to 18 this month. Below is a snapshot of the complete Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Survey. For further details see: Kansa...
In this article I will walk you through the commonly used but wrong way to think about volatility decay. We'll then walk through an example of volatility decay with realistic numbers. Afterwards, we'll build a simple mathematical model to calculate volatility decay from first prin...
If the jobs report is the Queen of Coincident Indicators, industrial production is the King. It, more than any other metric, is found at the turning points where recessions both begin and end. Thursday's report of industrial production for August shows that the recovery from the bottom of th...
By Robert Hughes Industrial production rose 0.4 percent in August following a jump of 3.5 percent in July, a surge of 6.1 percent in June and a gain of 1.0 percent in May. However, the four consecutive months of gains were not enough to overcome the back-to-back declines of 4.4 percent and...
By Jill Mislinski This morning (Sept. 15) we got the latest Empire State Manufacturing Survey . The diffusion index for General Business Conditions at 17.0 was an increase of 13.3 from the previous month's 3.7. The Investing.com forecast was for a reading of 6.0. The Empire State Manu...
By Robert Hughes Industrial production rose 5.4 percent in June following a rise of 1.4 percent in May. The back-to-back gains were not enough to overcome the back-to-back declines of 4.4 percent and 12.7 percent in March and April, respectively. For the second quarter, industrial product...
Market psychology sets market prices. It is based on investor perceptions of the moment. It has a 'will-of-the-wisp' quality. It is always at work in one direction or another with investors chasing themes believed to produce portfolio gains. Oil prices ((WTI)) vs. companies exposed to indust...
One Purchasing Managers Index said services fell further in June, but more slowly; the other said activity started climbing out of the hole. Both agree: Jobs dropped further. Two US services Purchasing Managers Indexes (PMIs) were released July 6 morning: The broader non-manufacturing PMI ...
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2024-06-25 22:26:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-04 08:16:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-15 10:38:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...