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Risk assets continued their historic run last week with EM equities and commodities leading the way. Bonds sold off as the 10-year Treasury note yield broke above 1.20% for the first time since the lows last spring. The 10-year TIPS yield closed the week at 1.02%, near the all-tim...
What's impressive is that even as of last Friday, January 22, 2021, the forward quarters keep getting revised higher. However since January 1, and probably thanks to the 4th quarter rally in many of these names, a lot of Financial stocks are down hard. Most of these financials are...
Rising inflation expectations are becoming a key discussion point in 2021. Rates were already on an upward trajectory in Q4, but recent developments fast-tracked those concerns in the new year. For investors, the key question is whether rising inflation expectations actually materiali...
In a typical quarter, year-over-year (YoY) growth expectations decline by an average of 3.6 percentage points (ppts) from the start of the quarter to the start of earnings season. However, 20Q4 YoY earnings have increased by 1.5 ppts over this period to -10.3% by Jan. 1, 2021. Con...
After years as an index fund evangelist at top ETF firms like BlackRock and SSgA, Dodd Kittsley did a 180 of sorts, becoming Director of active manager Davis Advisors. Still opposed to the “closet indexing” that marks many active managers, he was drawn to Davis’ u...
This Bespoke Asset Class Performance Matrix (ACPM) shows that as of 1/8/21, Emerging Markets have started the year with decent returns. Oakmark International is particularly appealing given it's 3-year return (just barely positive) and its percentile rank in the high 90s for the 3-yea...
After years as an index fund evangelist at top ETF firms like BlackRock and SSgA, Dodd Kittsley did a 180 of sorts, becoming Director of active manager Davis Advisors. Still opposed to the “closet indexing” that marks many active managers, he was drawn to Davis’ u...
With plenty of positive news about potential COVID-19 vaccines in November, financial stocks in general have outpaced the S&P 500 in the past month, with consumer finance (red line in chart below), in particular turning in the best performance.Nasdaq U.S. Small Cap Banks Index (green), th...
As a percentage of the S&P 500's market cap, the Financial sector fell to below 10% to 9.9% of the S&P 500's market cap this summer, down from a 20% just prior to the real estate sector being spun out of the index as its own sector in September 2016. As of last Friday, Novembe...
Earnings have fallen more than 50% this year because of slow loan growth, lower margins, and higher provisions. The excess capital over regulatory minimums should give investors confidence banks can weather further headwinds. Future risks include lower for longer interest rates an...
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2024-07-19 11:50:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-29 10:16:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-20 08:20:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...