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Summary People are looking here and there for clues but they aren’t grasping what the Fed is actually doing to either the state of the nation or to both the bond and equity markets. The Fed’s relentless pursuit to lower our rate of inflation is having a quite severe effect...
Summary Expert recommendations for choosing among the myriad of Vanguard ETFs may prove to be a valuable resource to investors, even if not all of them will prove right. I present such recommendations made by highly knowledgeable sources, along with my own recommendations and the reason...
Summary Markets posted strong gains in January, but will it last? Impact of China's reopening on global markets. Is this the year for a rebound in fixed income? Global markets have had a positive start to the year. But the year ahead likely won’t be withou...
Summary HNDL has a balanced equity and fixed income investments portfolio, and has a pre-fixed target rate of payouts, sustainability of which is questionable. During the past six months, all of HNDL’s fixed income ETFs failed to generate positive price growth. Price returns of i...
Summary We see central banks stumbling into a more nuanced phase of the inflation fight and nearing a pause on hikes. We like short-term bonds and credit for income. U.S. stocks rose but trimmed gains and Treasury yields jumped after U.S. jobs data showed a tight labor market, reviving ...
Summary Fisher’s 13F portfolio value increased from ~$133B to ~$148B in Q4 2022. They increased Advanced Micro Devices, Lam Research, and Intuit while decreasing Nvidia, Meta Platforms, PayPal Holdings, and Broadcom. The top three positions are Apple, Microsoft, and Amazon. T...
Summary If 2022 was an unsettling year for equities, as I noted in my second data post, it was an even more tumultuous year for the bond market. If the question is why interest rates rose a lot in 2022, and if your answer to that question is the Fed, you have, in my view, lost the scrip...
Summary Investing can seem like an endless cycle of booms and busts. The correlations among European, Japanese, and emerging market equities as well as US high-yield bonds increased consistently since 1989. According to monthly return data, the average S&P 500 correlations to th...
Summary We don’t see major central bank rate cuts this year, so we prefer to earn income in short-term bonds, high-grade credit and agency mortgage-backed securities. U.S. stocks rose and Treasury yields were mostly steady. U.S. Q4 GDP was resilient but declining consumer spendin...
Summary If central banks are intent on beating inflation even at the expense of worsening the economic slowdown, that is a threat to corporate earnings, and therefore to equity prices. Markets that reward tactical liquidity providers while offering genuinely uncorrelated returns could b...
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2024-04-15 11:20:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-05 13:30:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...