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2023-10-09 11:30:00 ET Summary Shifting supply-and-demand dynamics appear to be driving bond markets more than fundamentals, which makes for a bumpy ride. Through the fourth quarter of 2022, U.S. and global growth outlooks were becoming steadily more pessimistic. While short- ...
2023-10-06 23:40:00 ET Summary The ongoing bear market in Treasury bonds is among the worst on record, but several sectors of the fixed-income market remain ports in a storm. Despite the bearish tailwinds blowing through the market, it’s not an across-the-board rout via a s...
2023-10-03 04:06:00 ET Summary Despite compelling evidence that central banks have likely completed or nearly completed their hiking cycles, yields have continued to rise globally and are now at cyclical highs. Sustained higher interest rates are also likely to lead, eventually, t...
2023-09-28 12:29:00 ET Summary Treasury yields rose during the 3rd quarter as market participants digested economic data and the Fed continued to maintain a hawkish bias, leading to expectations that rates will remain higher for longer. Spread volatility remained muted during the ...
2023-09-26 02:12:00 ET Summary Nominal and inflation-adjusted yields haven’t been this high in about 15 years. Monetary policy is becoming quite restrictive, and ultimately, we think it will cause an economic slowdown, if not a mild recession. We see significant global ...
2023-09-21 15:29:23 ET More on U.S. Bonds Bond Market Expectations: Slow Growth And Moderate Inflation Deutsche Bank looks at the US10Y for clues on whether the Fed has hiked for the last time U.S. government shutdown looms amid political impasse in House: Pantheon ...
2023-09-21 09:59:00 ET Summary Fixed-income investors looking for interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve are still waiting, but that hasn’t stopped low-rated bonds from posting strong gains in 2023. Bond investors hoping for encouraging signals from the Federal Reserve...
2023-09-18 23:00:00 ET Summary Investment-grade credit is currently offering impressive yields, with relatively less risk than other fixed income sectors. Given the very low probability of default for IG issuers, this higher-quality fixed income sector can possibly serve as a more...
2023-09-15 05:30:00 ET Summary In corporate credit, we evaluate convexity as the upside price potential compared to the downside price potential. Newly issued high yield bonds typically have limited upside price potential compared to downside price potential. Newly issued inve...
2023-09-15 03:30:00 ET Summary We believe a very high level of conviction that a recession will occur is necessary before investors start overweighting or underweighting equities. This is because changes in portfolio positioning can have significant negative or positive impacts on...
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2024-04-15 11:20:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-05 13:30:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...