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Summary A progress report on inflation: Inflation appears to have peaked, led by improvements in core goods prices and rate-sensitive sectors like housing. The policy focus has shifted to labor market normalization where early signs of progress are emerging. Is a soft landing in sight? ...
Summary Much of the 2022 flavor of the polycrisis focused on the danger side. But there are opportunities to be explored as well. As we look ahead to 2023, we are at the same time mindful of the potential threats that await and the opportunities that may present themselves as everything...
Summary The first month of 2023 (and the last month of the retail industry’s Q4 2022) saw America’s largest party supply store file for Chapter 11 bankruptcy, a move that the StarMine credit models had predicted about a year ago. According to StarMine, Bed Bath & Beyon...
Summary The debate about globalization will be interesting as companies increasingly seek alternatives to China and return to more domestic suppliers to solve their global supply chain glitches. The EV earthquake from Tesla’s price cuts is still reverberating, and it will be inte...
Summary The latest December U.S. retail sales surprised observers as the headline index shows sales were weaker than already-weak expectations for December. On a month-over-month basis, many categories struggled across the board. Shoppers spent less on vehicles, gasoline and furniture. ...
Summary Economists were expecting a decline, but the 1.1% slide in retail spending in December was deeper than expected. Real spending in annual terms tends to be a more reliable measure of business-cycle risk. Other business cycle indicators are also signaling economic activity tha...
Summary Wall Street is bullish on Consumer Discretionary stocks again. The sector has the third-best EPS Revisions Score and Profitability Score, but the second-worst one-year returns. XLY is the largest Consumer Discretionary ETF with $13 billion in assets under management. Its 0.10% e...
Summary Not seasonally adjusted, and despite the price drops, total retail sales and ecommerce sales hit records. In December, retail sales fell 1.1% from November, while prices of nondurable goods (dominated by food and gasoline) dropped 1.2%. Prices of durable goods (new and used ...
Summary Explaining the fundamental rules for managing a Sector BPI portfolio. Examples of how recent buy and sell decisions performed. How to set up asset allocation percentages based on annualized volatility. For further details see: Managing A Portfolio U...
Summary In this post, we provide our key assumptions and outlook for 2023. We are relatively more optimistic than most, as we believe that we are already in the mid-late innings of this downturn. We believe that stabilizing interest rates will provide a base for valuations and expec...
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2024-04-15 11:24:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-05 13:34:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-05 21:58:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...