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Though Vanguard Short-Term Corporate Bond Index ETF is a quality and adequately de-risked fund, its dividend yield is way below the estimated annual inflation rate. The ETF’s forward dividend yield of 1.57% is just a notch above the 1.24% yield of the U.S. 10-Year Treasury Note...
Recently, downticks in Treasury yields are being met with selling pressure in value indexes and stocks. The stock market can’t make up its mind. Does it want high yields or low yields? This confusion is because inflation numbers are rising and interest rates are falling, which ...
Since last November’s vaccine news, financial markets have been "hanging ten" on a swell of cyclical, value and small-cap stocks, and rising Treasury yields. Crosswinds started to grow in the second quarter, however, as economic and inflation data ran hot: rising yields stalled...
Instead of trying to predict where the S&P 500 will be a year from now, we prefer to go through the main asset classes and provide two predictions for each. Stocks: Value will outperform growth, industrials will outperform tech. Bonds: US Treasury 10-Year Yield > 1.67% (up ...
For a number of years prior to the COVID crisis, U.K.- and EU-based investors viewed currency hedging costs as a massive barrier to investing in U.S. dollar-denominated bonds. Looking at investment-grade corporate bonds in different currencies, the EUR credit index currently has an av...
We’ve moved past the early-cycle environment that predominated risk taking in 2020, post the pandemic lows, and we’re moving really into a mid-cycle environment, which tends to be constructive for risk. This mid-cycle environment is still going to be expansionary, albeit...
Growth-oriented asset classes are likely to shine, but not equally. Above-trend growth is a supportive environment of risky assets like equities or credit. On valuation grounds, equities are looking a little cheaper. Geraldine Sundstrom and Erin Browne discuss PIMCO’s views...
The U.S. has experienced three months in a row of elevated - and rising - consumer inflation rates. Monetary policy has broken down and is scarcely able to translate central bank actions into the Main Street economy. Fiscal policy is more unproductive than productive, and the more...
In counter-cyclical investing, we want to buy CEFs when discounts are wide and sell them when discounts are tight. The problem we run into is that when we swap, we give up the upside of the NAVs should the bull market continue. We also give up higher income streams. The options be...
Risk-adjusted performance for the Global Market Index (GMI) continued to push higher in June, based on the annualized Sharpe ratio for a rolling ten-year window via monthly data. GMI’s 10-year SR increased to 0.84, the highest in 18 months. GMI is an unmanaged, market-value...
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2024-04-15 11:28:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-05 13:38:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...