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Summary PPI and CPI numbers came out last week, and both were higher than expected. Fed officials are concerned about the persistence of high inflation, and a 0.75% key interest rate hike at the November FOMC meeting is virtually certain. Worldwide demand for crude oil naturally r...
Summary Janet Yellen raised the specter of buying Treasuries this past week, without it being QE. The comments seemed to be born of some illiquidity issues within the Treasury market. 2022 is a midterm election year. It’s been grim YTD with the S&P 500 down -23.83% whil...
Summary The S&P 500 has dropped like a stone in 2022 as rates and the US dollar rise. The VDE is more than 45% higher this year, outperforming the stock market and providing substantial gains. VDE holds the leading US traditional energy companies. VDE pays an above-mar...
Summary The reduction of production quotas by OPEC+ members is putting a floor under oil prices. Fears of an impending recession in Europe are fully priced in. China consumption will likely rebound in 2023. Worldwide inventories continue to decline. US SPR releases will be...
Summary Investors are turning more and more to ETFs and less and less to mutual funds, especially ones that are unmanaged. I compared the performance of unmanaged ETFs to that of the relatively few managed ETFs at Vanguard, as well as to that of managed mutual funds. In the ma...
Summary We expect macro headwinds will continue to pressure U.S. corporate earnings in the coming months. We expect earnings expectations to decline as multinational firms realize foreign exchange headwinds that accelerated over the past year. Investors can avoid undue interna...
Summary As the fourth quarter gets underway, I am looking for areas to put the cash I had been raising. Energy is one such sector. It has seen a sharp sell-off, most of which I think is unjustified. I think this offers a good buying opportunity. The sector continues to lead in...
Summary The energy market has certainly had a very positive year so far. FTSE All World Oil, Gas & Coal is up 20% YTD (to end August), 39% ahead of the broader FTSE All World Equity Index. Looking more broadly across asset classes, whilst energy equities were strong (and less ...
Summary It is not clear what a new market design would look like, but many politicians have called for price caps, albeit in many different forms. The merit order ensures that the cheapest technologies enter the market first but implies that the price is set by the most expensive ...
Summary Although consumers are benefiting from robust labor markets and strong balance sheets, they appear reluctant to buy high-cost durable goods. A key to navigating inflation risk is understanding its relationship with asset class returns. Historically, high-inflation episodes...
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2024-05-07 07:15:00 ET Oil prices have rallied this year. West Texas Intermediate, the primary U.S. benchmark price, is up more than 10% to nearly $80 a barrel. Higher crude prices are driving up most energy stocks. One of the easiest ways to cash in on the oil-fueled rally in energy st...
2024-05-05 03:34:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-25 09:36:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...