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2024-02-02 10:42:00 ET Summary January payrolls surged 353k versus 185k consensus. The blowout jobs report - payrolls surging, wages jumping, unemployment falling - means the Fed will be in no hurry to cut interest rates. Nevertheless, the report contradicts lots of evidence e...
2024-02-02 07:27:00 ET Summary The US data continues to refuse to convincingly break one way or another. This will leave members of the Federal Reserve unconvinced there is enough evidence to justify cutting interest rates as soon as March. The US manufacturing ISM index was stron...
2024-02-02 03:20:00 ET Summary While interest rates were left unchanged at the January Fed meeting as expected, there were some interesting hints about future monetary policy. Powell stressed that the Fed would continue to be hyper-focused on its dual mandates of price stability a...
2024-02-01 14:52:00 ET Summary How does the outperforming US economy play into the Fed's strategy? What is the bond market telling us about when rate cuts may start? How many rate cuts do you see in 2024? The Federal Reserve held its key interest rate steady for a fo...
2024-02-01 10:30:00 ET Summary The Fed has kept rates steady for its past three meetings, and Wednesday followed that trend. In my view, the Fed announcement is attempting to keep a lid on easing financial conditions while admitting that progress has been made on disinflation. ...
2024-01-31 20:44:00 ET Summary The Federal Reserve has left monetary policy unchanged and while it removed its tightening bias, it doesn’t seem to be in a hurry to cut interest rates. We still think May is the more likely start point for policy easing rather than March, eve...
2024-01-31 19:40:00 ET Summary Once again, the Fed did what was widely expected and kept the Fed Funds target unchanged at the January FOMC meeting. As a result, the trading range remains at 5.25%-5.50%, still at a more than 20-year high watermark. The money and bond markets h...
2024-01-31 18:20:00 ET Summary Employment costs are cooling broadly despite the tight jobs market. Cooling labour cost environment offers the Fed the room to cut interest rates meaningfully to neutral levels. Employment costs rose 0.9% quarter-on-quarter in 4Q versus 1.1% in 3...
2024-01-31 10:30:00 ET Summary The core Personal Consumption Expenditures price index fell to its lowest level since March 2021. Euro area business optimism about the coming year improved for a fourth consecutive month in January. Last week brought several announcements from r...
2024-01-31 02:00:00 ET Summary If the Fed does happen to break something and the economy grinds to a halt, it can respond very quickly. We believe growth of 2.5% is very doable in the 2020s. Healthcare companies are fast becoming data companies. In their first walk o...
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2024-07-15 07:12:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-25 10:34:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-14 22:14:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...