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2024-07-17 04:35:00 ET Summary The US economy is still growing (positive GDP) but growth has slowed and signs of weakness are apparent. This should not be a surprise: the Federal Reserve raised interest rates by about 5.5% between Spring of 2022 and Summer of 2023 in an attempt to slo...
2024-07-17 03:40:00 ET Summary While stocks of large US companies have done well over the last few years, stocks of small US companies are negative. Year-to-date, the cap-weighted S&P 500 has returned 3 times the return of the S&P 500 Equal-Weight. Although the S&P...
2024-07-16 14:20:00 ET Summary In taking a deeper dive into the existing home sales report for May, I noticed that the distribution of sales across the six price “buckets” shows a different story than the headline number broken out by sales region. Recent reports ind...
2024-07-16 09:10:00 ET Summary The affordability of new homes sold in the United States was little changed in May 2024. With the mortgage payment for the typical new home sold consuming 43% of the income earned by a household in the exact middle of the distribution of income in th...
2024-07-16 07:45:00 ET Summary Many investors think that Fed controls the destiny of REITs. If rates remain high, REITs are screwed. If they are cut, REITs will recover. I disagree. Here's why I expect REITs to thrive even in a "higher for longer" environment. Lately, th...
2024-07-14 09:00:00 ET Summary U.S. equity markets climbed to record highs, while benchmark interest rates dipped to four-month lows as investors rotated from high-flying growth stocks into beaten-down value names following a cooler-than-expected CPI report. Headline CPI declined ...
2024-07-14 08:53:02 ET Summary American Homes 4 Rent is a REIT that owns and leases single-family homes nationwide. Its portfolio is well-diversified and in a market with favorable supply/demand dynamics. With such a low leverage, strong liquidity, performance momentum, and lo...
2024-07-13 12:00:00 ET More on real estate Explained: The True Story About U.S. Housing Inventory Home prices relentlessly climb to new heights despite elevated mortgage rates: Redfin Commercial real estate risk may last for years, Fed's Powell warns Dividend...
2024-07-12 15:22:45 ET Summary We discuss why our base case for the U.S. economy is stagflation. We share a 15-stock portfolio that is well-positioned for a stagflationary environment. We share why it is positioned to deliver an attractive current dividend yield along with str...
2024-07-12 14:23:14 ET Summary Market consensus predicts a 70% chance of a 25 basis point rate cut in September and two cuts by December. Falling interest rates could benefit REITs through cap rate decline, transaction volume increase, cost of capital reduction, multiple expansion...
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2024-07-20 07:08:00 ET Realty Income (NYSE: O) stock has fallen a bit in 2024, with shares down by 3% for the year as of this writing. Even including dividends, the total return of the real estate investment trust (REIT) is roughly flat. While there are some legitimate concerns ...
2024-07-19 07:13:00 ET The real estate sector has been one of the worst-performing parts of the stock market recently. Although the S&P 500 is up by 50% since the start of 2023, rebounding nicely from the 2022 bear market lows, the real estate sector, as indicated by the Vanguard ...
2024-07-05 04:21:00 ET The average real estate investment trust (REIT), using Vanguard Real Estate Index ETF (NYSEMKT: VNQ) as a proxy, is yielding roughly 4.1%. That's much higher than the market, with the S&P 500 index's yield at a measly 1.3%. But you can still do better ...