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Let's assess where the economy is today. When the pandemic hit, global economic activity was put on pause, and the initial shock was sudden and very deep. But now that we're a few months in, we asked Elga Bartsch, Head of Macro Research for the BlackRock Investment Institute, for ...
Over the last 40 years, U.S. equities have had roughly the same P/E ratio as the rest of the world. Over the last 10, the U.S. has produced massive outperformance relative to its global peers, with valuations becoming increasingly stretched. You actually have to go back to the 192...
The global market is in the early recovery phase of the business cycle following the COVID-19 recession. This implies an extended period of low-inflation, low-interest-rate growth - an environment that usually favors equities over bonds. But after such a rapid rebound, an equity market pu...
The weak trend in global trade and growth will not be enough to support risky assets such as equities in the coming months. The recent 10%+ consolidation in equities clearly shows how vulnerable is the market currently 'without' central banks and governments' help. Leading indicat...
The upsurge in forward PE multiples to decade highs since March, particularly in the US, has raised legitimate concerns about the risks of elevated valuations. With few exceptions, global sector forward PE multiples have also reached some of the highest absolute levels in 10 years. ...
The US has not been alone in falling back below its 50-DMA. With weakness in equities around the globe since the start of the month, the average global stock market is 2.43% below its 50-DMA. That is the lowest reading since April. For further details see: Mean Reversion...
Six of eight indexes on our world watch list posted losses through September 21, 2020. The top performer is China's Shanghai with a gain of 8.75%. Our own S&P 500 is in second with a gain of 1.24% and in third is Tokyo's Nikkei 225 with a loss of 1.25%. Coming in last is Londo...
The current environment certainly opens up a lot of opportunities for fundamental value, and it also forces a lot of navigation. Emerging markets have great potential to bounce back as the world economy recovers and as oil demand comes back online. We certainly look a lot at emerg...
The decisive rebound in the EPS revision cycle from the pandemic lows in June has provided much of the firepower behind this summer's risk rally. The downtrend in 2020 EPS forecasts appears to have bottomed, while 2021 numbers have swung higher. With hopes for a robust EPS recover...
"Japanification" is the process of other countries' economies becoming like that of Japan: flatlined, with little to no growth or inflation and interest rates stuck at zero indefinitely. Because of the Monetary Death Spiral process that I've described elsewhere, many countries around ...
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2024-06-03 22:58:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-25 00:58:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-06 01:58:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...