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Summary Investors responded enthusiastically to news that the October CPI numbers came in slightly lower than expected, causing the market to surge by as much as 5%. But looking at only the headline number is a mistake that the Fed will not make. We drill down here to see how ...
Summary Former crypto-world star, FTX, has bitten the dust, having had to sell itself to another crypto-world star, Binance. FTX rode the waves, primarily created by the Federal Reserve System, prospered during the ride, but, like many other organizations in early-stage industries...
Summary Chairman Powell's hawkish comments have all but erased hopes for a Fed pivot or even pause this year. The Fed is straddling a line on creating a credit crisis that could send stocks down an elevator shaft. Very few investors are seeing the risk of the S&P 500 falli...
Summary Consumer price inflation is still red hot, from both the supply and demand side, taming one could harm the other. The Fed is behind on quantitative tightening, offloading the balance sheet is a monumental task that has never been done before. A high national deficit an...
Summary The U.S. dollar, with support from the Federal Reserve, maintains its strength in world markets. More and more companies are accepting the fact that the strong U.S. dollar will be around for a while and are making more use of financial transactions to support profits. ...
Summary High frequency indicators can give us a nearly up-to-the-moment view of the economy. The metrics are divided into long leading, short leading, and coincident indicators. This week a number of indicators which had been deteriorating, improved instead. This is very l...
Summary The persistent slowdown in the U.S. ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Manager Index portends a decelerating U.S. economy. With the ending of government subsidies to businesses and transfer payments to individuals, we expect continued pressure on equities and other risky financi...
Summary The Federal Reserve raised its policy rate of interest by 75 basis points this week and continues the move to shrink its balance sheet. However, the Federal Reserve has a long ways to got to make up for the tidal wave of funds it pumped into the market to combat the Covid-...
Summary Bullish sentiment, expectations that stock prices will rise over the next six months, increased by 4.0 percentage points to 30.6%. Neutral sentiment, expectations that stock prices will stay essentially unchanged over the next six months, jumped 8.8 percentage points to 36...
Summary The Federal Reserve has raised the Federal Funds Rate by 75 basis points to a range of 3.75% to 4%. Chairman Powell says they have the "resolve" to stay the course until the job is done. Terminal rate targets have now moved higher while expectations for the duration of...
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2024-07-18 07:15:00 ET Investing in stocks can be challenging, especially when it comes to selecting individual companies. The process requires extensive research, constant monitoring, and carries substantial risk. For those seeking a simpler approach, Vanguard offers a compelling solut...
2024-06-16 13:30:00 ET Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) and Oracle (NYSE: ORCL) blasted to all-time highs on Wednesday. Apple is up over 14% in the last month -- the recent rally primarily fueled by a positive response to its annual Worldwide Developers Conference. Apple is inte...
2024-06-03 23:06:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...