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Summary The leaders of the Federal Reserve continue to take a tough stance when it comes to current monetary policy, but the investment community does not seem to buy the story. One reason has to do with the number of changes the Federal Reserve has made to its operating policy over the...
Summary Investors push stock prices up when they see a "good sign" that the Federal Reserve may have to change directions in the near future. But, the Federal Reserve continues to hang on to its program of quantitative monetary tightening. The difficulty the Fed is facing in this re...
Summary Knowing when the U.S. economy is heading for recession is paramount to successful investment decisions. Our weekly Business Cycle Index would have provided early reliable warnings for the past seven recessions and signaled the Covid 2020 recession one week late. The BCI is n...
Summary Since the middle of March 2022, the Federal Reserve has kept a steady foot on the economy's brake and continues to argue that it will continue to do so. Quantitative tightening is the game, and the Fed has intentions of extending this effort well out into the future. Signals...
Even though the S&P 500 dropped in December, equity funds scored gains on average for Q4 as a whole, thanks to gains posted over October and November. This marked their first quarterly advances in four quarters. During Q4, equity funds climbed 8.7% on average. Still, even with this advanc...
Summary In this article, I examine how investors can get truly passive exposure to the US equity market. Passive investing emerged from academia and offers benefits through diversification, low fees, and historically better performance than the average active manager. To passively i...
Summary It was a bullish, more than a strong, December payrolls report. A better-than-forecast headline jobs gain in the establishment report featured weaker earnings data from the household survey. Stock market futures rallied by more than 1% as Treasury yield dipped slightly from ...
Summary A frequent question we received from our marketplace members is about Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF (VTI) and Vanguard S&P 500 ETF (VOO). The questions came in different forms. But in essence, they boil down to what’s different and why we use VTI instead of VOO. ...
Summary Bullish sentiment, expectations that stock prices will rise over the next six months, fell 6.0 percentage points to 20.5%. Neutral sentiment, expectations that stock prices will stay essentially unchanged over the next six months, jumped by 11.6 percentage points to 37.5%. B...
Summary The expected long-run return for the Global Market Index (GMI) ticked lower in December, slipping below 6% annualized, based on the average forecast for three models. GMI represents a theoretical benchmark of the optimal portfolio for the average investor with an infinite time h...
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2024-07-18 07:15:00 ET Investing in stocks can be challenging, especially when it comes to selecting individual companies. The process requires extensive research, constant monitoring, and carries substantial risk. For those seeking a simpler approach, Vanguard offers a compelling solut...
2024-06-16 13:30:00 ET Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) and Oracle (NYSE: ORCL) blasted to all-time highs on Wednesday. Apple is up over 14% in the last month -- the recent rally primarily fueled by a positive response to its annual Worldwide Developers Conference. Apple is inte...
2024-06-03 23:06:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...