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Summary Bullish sentiment, expectations that stock prices will rise over the next six months, fell 2.6 percentage points to 28.4%. Neutral sentiment, expectations that stock prices will stay essentially unchanged over the next six months, declined 1.0 percentage points to 35.0%. Bea...
Summary The 2022 Q4 GDP tipped up above the 2.6% consensus to 2.9%; 2.1% for all of 2022. The Personal Consumption Expenditures gains came mostly in consumer services as consumer goods purchases are declining. But tech layoffs ahead of earning point to a slowing economy. Invento...
Summary This article makes a strong case for well-structured market timing strategies. A benchmark is developed using Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway. The benchmark is compared to Strategic Asset Allocation. Finally, the benchmark is compared to 3 versions of Tactical Asset Allocat...
Summary The European Union is planning a pilot test to examine the next stage of the movement into Central Bank Digital Currency. The world is going to go digital, and the arrival of digital currency systems may be closer to a full reality than we appreciate. The events in the "cryp...
Summary Most observers expect a recession this year, but there are an increasing number forecasting a “soft landing,” where inflation cools without a recession. The NBER will rely on monthly data, which is reported with a lag as much as two months, and is usually revised. ...
Summary A January survey conducted by Bank of America shows that 91% of money managers believe China will “fully reopen” in 2023. That’s a significant increase from December 2022. There's been a 100% increase in Chinese Chunyun (Spring Festival) travelers over last ...
Summary As the Fed continues with the most aggressive QT program in U.S. history, the U.S. Treasury begins "extraordinary measures" to manage a potential debt ceiling standoff. How large are the Treasury's "Extraordinary Measures" and will they counteract the Fed's quantitative tighteni...
Summary The current effort for crypto-lenders to bring the centuries-old business model of banking into the current era is on hold for now. The past year has seen many of the "biggest names" in crypto-lending fall by the wayside and, right now, there is very little leadership to move th...
Summary Investors have a front-row seat to witness the epic battle for AI supremacy as Microsoft and Google, the dominant holdings in the QQQ ETF, vie for dominance. As a leading holding in the QQQ, Nvidia lays the foundation for the AI ecosystem, positioning itself at the forefront of ...
Summary Knowing when the U.S. economy is heading for recession is paramount to successful investment decisions. Our weekly Business Cycle Index would have provided early reliable warnings for the past seven recessions and signaled the Covid 2020 recession one week late. The BCI is a...
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2024-07-18 07:15:00 ET Investing in stocks can be challenging, especially when it comes to selecting individual companies. The process requires extensive research, constant monitoring, and carries substantial risk. For those seeking a simpler approach, Vanguard offers a compelling solut...
2024-06-16 13:30:00 ET Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) and Oracle (NYSE: ORCL) blasted to all-time highs on Wednesday. Apple is up over 14% in the last month -- the recent rally primarily fueled by a positive response to its annual Worldwide Developers Conference. Apple is inte...
2024-06-03 23:06:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...