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Summary The energy sector has been red-hot for much of the past year, but there are still pockets in this corner that remain battered, at least in relative terms. There are no guarantees that the so-called value premium, no matter the definition, will generate superior performance anyti...
Summary Larry Summers shifts his advice to the Fed in a surprising way. Money growth signals turn draconianly sour. Real interest rate signals channel Pharrell Williams: Don't worry be happy! So, what should the Fed do? For further details see: The Tect...
Summary Stocks have rallied strongly and most investors are positioned for a new bull market. Unfortunately, the Fed is continuing to tighten monetary policy to try to lower inflation from 40-year highs. Also, most proven leading economic indicators are in recessionary territory. ...
Summary The U.S. economy is in the middle of a period of radical uncertainty where no one really seems to know what is wrong, or, what is needed to make things better. Most of the solutions people talk about tend to be demand side efforts, while most of the problems people talk about se...
Summary Investors Intelligence, the granddaddy of all sentiment indicators with a 60-year track record, is still positive. The current ratio is 1.3 bulls for every bear, which historically for this contrary opinion indicator, is bullish. The current ratio helps confirm our belief th...
Summary Knowing when the U.S. economy is heading for recession is paramount to successful investment decisions. Our weekly Business Cycle Index would have provided early reliable warnings for the past seven recessions and signaled the Covid 2020 recession one week late. Down revisio...
Summary Since September 30th and October 7th, when the two master sentiment indicators reached their most bearish extremes, the S&P 500 is up 14% and 12.3% respectively. The current levels of bearish sentiment of both indicators show the market continues to advance against the famou...
Summary The Vanguard Total World Stock ETF is one of the leading ETFs to invest truly passively in global stock markets. Passive investing means holding the market portfolio. Applied to equities, this is the market-cap weighted portfolio of all available stocks in the world. By definiti...
Summary High frequency indicators can give us a nearly up-to-the-moment view of the economy. The metrics are divided into long leading, short leading, and coincident indicators. Both leading timeframes remain negative, although a number of the long leading indicators are edging towa...
Summary Bullish sentiment, expectations that stock prices will rise over the next six months, fell 2.6 percentage points to 28.4%. Neutral sentiment, expectations that stock prices will stay essentially unchanged over the next six months, declined 1.0 percentage points to 35.0%. Bea...
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2024-07-18 07:15:00 ET Investing in stocks can be challenging, especially when it comes to selecting individual companies. The process requires extensive research, constant monitoring, and carries substantial risk. For those seeking a simpler approach, Vanguard offers a compelling solut...
2024-06-16 13:30:00 ET Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) and Oracle (NYSE: ORCL) blasted to all-time highs on Wednesday. Apple is up over 14% in the last month -- the recent rally primarily fueled by a positive response to its annual Worldwide Developers Conference. Apple is inte...
2024-06-03 23:06:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...