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Summary Goldman Sachs was doing very well during the Great Recession and so it kept its business model, but then suffered through the reduced volatility of the next decade. Morgan Stanley was not doing all that well and so it changed its business model, emphasizing wealth management, an...
Summary Statisticians seasonally adjust statistical series' in an attempt to make the data more understandable for those using the information. However, the seasonal adjustment of a data series requires that the seasonal performance of the series has remained relatively stable for a num...
Summary With the rapid decline in short-term bearish sentiment, we are approaching a critical moment. Investors forget bear markets - and bear market rallies - usually occur in two waves, not one. Are we forming a large Elliot Wave flat? If so, we must carefully watch investor senti...
Summary High frequency indicators can give us a nearly up-to-the-moment view of the economy. The metrics are divided into long leading, short leading, and coincident indicators. This week, an important consumer spending metric and an important employment metric both deteriorated to ...
Summary The International Monetary Funds estimates that Advanced Economies will be slipping in growth, with the United Kingdom witnessing contraction. New survey trends by PYMNTS indicates that an increasing number of people earning over $100,000 are living paycheck to paycheck. Wit...
Summary An 8-sigma jobs gain in January shocked economists. Equities fell and rates rose immediately after the strong report. Value stocks could return to favor after a lackluster start to 2023 compared to growth's monster run-up. Recession? More like boom times. The J...
Summary Bullish sentiment, expectations that stock prices will rise over the next six months, rose 1.5 percentage points to 29.9%. Neutral sentiment, expectations that stock prices will stay essentially unchanged over the next six months, rose 0.6 percentage points to 35.5%. Bearish...
Summary The long-run performance outlook for the Global Market Index (GMI) ticked higher in January, reaching a 6% annualized forecast, based on the average estimate for three models. The underlying components of GMI continue to post relatively strong forecasts — defined as forec...
Summary Global markets roared back to life in January, led by US real estate shares. The only slice of the major asset classes that lost ground last month: commodities, based on a set of proxy ETFs. The Global Market Index (GMI) posted a solid rebound in January. This unmanaged benchmar...
Summary The energy sector has been red-hot for much of the past year, but there are still pockets in this corner that remain battered, at least in relative terms. There are no guarantees that the so-called value premium, no matter the definition, will generate superior performance anyti...
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2024-07-18 07:15:00 ET Investing in stocks can be challenging, especially when it comes to selecting individual companies. The process requires extensive research, constant monitoring, and carries substantial risk. For those seeking a simpler approach, Vanguard offers a compelling solut...
2024-06-16 13:30:00 ET Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) and Oracle (NYSE: ORCL) blasted to all-time highs on Wednesday. Apple is up over 14% in the last month -- the recent rally primarily fueled by a positive response to its annual Worldwide Developers Conference. Apple is inte...
2024-06-03 23:06:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...