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Summary High frequency indicators can give us a nearly up-to-the-moment view of the economy. The metrics are divided into long-leading, short-leading, and coincident indicators. There were no significant changes this week. But coincident indicators generally continue to weaken ever ...
Summary Little happened in the first week of February at the Federal Reserve, but Federal Reserve officials continue to support the Fed's battle with inflation. Federal Reserve officials continue to oversee the reduction in the Fed's portfolio of securities and the reduction in the amou...
Summary The 3-month/10-year yield curve has not been this inverted since the early 1980s. The prior eight yield curve inversions since 1968 were all followed by recession. This time is likely to be different for one very underappreciated reason. Regardless of how bullish t...
Summary Financial conditions have eased on Wall Street, suggesting a disconnect between Federal Reserve policy and investor expectations. For example, the Federal Reserve raised its policy rate of interest again and stock prices rose. But, the disconnect between the Fed and Wall Str...
Summary Bullish sentiment, expectations that stock prices will rise over the next six months, rose 7.6 percentage points to 37.5%. Neutral sentiment, expectations that stock prices will stay essentially unchanged over the next six months, rose 2.0 percentage points to 37.5%. Bearish...
Summary The S&P 500 index is almost unarguably the #1 benchmark followed by long-term investors, fundamental analysts, and short-term traders alike. I felt the need to explain 16 details about the S&P 500, I believe well-informed investors should know about this index, however t...
Summary Inflation has destroyed $1 trillion of U.S. worker purchasing power. The trend of worsening real income growth has been ongoing for the past 20 years. Higher levels of debt and increasing government size are the main problems suppressing U.S. worker real income. ...
Summary Bulls look at the last few months and claim that a new bull market has already started and SPX is heading towards a new all-time high. Bears look at the last few months and claim that this is just another bear market rally and SPX is heading towards a new 52-week low. We fea...
Summary At -18.1% and -17.8%, 2022 marked the first time the S&P 500 and the 10-Year Treasury Bond respectively both delivered negative annual returns below -10% in the same year. All bear markets have significant rallies in the midst of the bear market. A high-teens percentage rall...
Summary Goldman Sachs was doing very well during the Great Recession and so it kept its business model, but then suffered through the reduced volatility of the next decade. Morgan Stanley was not doing all that well and so it changed its business model, emphasizing wealth management, an...
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2024-07-18 07:15:00 ET Investing in stocks can be challenging, especially when it comes to selecting individual companies. The process requires extensive research, constant monitoring, and carries substantial risk. For those seeking a simpler approach, Vanguard offers a compelling solut...
2024-06-16 13:30:00 ET Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) and Oracle (NYSE: ORCL) blasted to all-time highs on Wednesday. Apple is up over 14% in the last month -- the recent rally primarily fueled by a positive response to its annual Worldwide Developers Conference. Apple is inte...
2024-06-03 23:06:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...