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2023-03-07 19:32:18 ET Summary Jerome Powell, Chairman of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve, spoke in front of the U.S. Congress today - and the stock market tumbled. Mr. Powell's latest message: the economy has, so far, come in stronger than expected and, therefore, t...
2023-03-07 13:32:24 ET Summary The debt ceiling has been hit once again! With the Biden budget coming out this week, the discussions about the possibility of debt default will become real. The "debt ceiling" does not work: both Republicans and Democrats abuse it, a solution is...
2023-03-06 11:01:15 ET Summary The Biden administration is expected to spend lots of money in the near future and to increase the federal debt by a lot. But, economic growth is expected to remain quite dismal. Federal spending does not seem to be doing anything for the economy...
2023-03-04 08:00:00 ET Summary High frequency indicators can give us a nearly up-to-the-moment view of the economy. The metrics are divided into long leading, short leading, and coincident indicators. While both the long and short leading timeframes remain negative, coincident...
Summary The Federal Reserve is continuing to remove securities from its securities portfolio, supporting its efforts to increase its policy rate of interest. The Federal Reserve has continued to reduce its securities portfolio much in the same way it increased its securities portfolio i...
Summary The banking industry scored a return on equity of 11.67 percent, has lots of cash on hand, and seems to be lending quite freely. The Federal Reserve is tightening up its monetary policy and looks like it will keep things tight for an extended period of time. But, the environ...
Summary The Market Momentum Gauges® turned positive again Thursday even as SPY negative weekly outflows were above $2 billion for the third week in a row. Weekly MDA Breakout portfolio is up 35.8% YTD and Bounce/Lag Momentum portfolio +25.3% following the signals. Long term V&a...
Summary We start with a discussion of diversification theories based on the findings of a scientific article called "The Dividend Puzzle". While inexperienced investors should stick to ETFs, there's a clear case to be made for the behavioral approach, which is based on a mix of differen...
Summary Bullish sentiment, expectations that stock prices will rise over the next six months, increased 1.8 percentage points to 23.4%. Neutral sentiment, expectations that stock prices will stay essentially unchanged over the next six months, decreased by 8.0 percentage points to 31.8%...
Summary The Global Market Index’s expected long-run performance held at 6.0% annualized in February, unchanged from last month, based on the average estimate for three models. The underlying components of GMI continue to post relatively strong forecasts vs. their respective curre...
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2024-07-18 07:15:00 ET Investing in stocks can be challenging, especially when it comes to selecting individual companies. The process requires extensive research, constant monitoring, and carries substantial risk. For those seeking a simpler approach, Vanguard offers a compelling solut...
2024-06-16 13:30:00 ET Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) and Oracle (NYSE: ORCL) blasted to all-time highs on Wednesday. Apple is up over 14% in the last month -- the recent rally primarily fueled by a positive response to its annual Worldwide Developers Conference. Apple is inte...
2024-06-03 23:06:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...