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2023-04-10 13:56:16 ET Summary Investors appear to be placing their money where the future lies, in the areas of technological change and the spread of digital capital. Many investors still believe that the Federal Reserve will "pivot" from its current policy of quantitative tight...
2023-04-08 22:51:09 ET Summary Analyzing option activity provides a window into the minds of investors. It tells us if they are expecting higher or lower prices. A new indicator, based on total CBOE “put” buying, gave one of its strongest buy signals in January, and ...
2023-04-08 08:21:35 ET Summary Knowing when the U.S. economy is heading for recession is paramount to successful investment decisions. Our weekly Business Cycle Index (BCI) would have provided early reliable warnings for the past seven recessions and signaled the Covid 2020 recess...
2023-04-08 02:33:47 ET Summary Systematic value investors bet that a diversified portfolio of fundamentally "cheap" stocks should outperform a portfolio of "expensive" stocks over the long term. The Invesco S&P 500 Pure Value ETF tracks the S&P 500 Pure Value Index and was...
2023-04-06 16:06:59 ET Summary Bullish sentiment, expectations that stock prices will rise over the next six months, jumped 10.8 percentage points to 33.3%. Neutral sentiment, expectations that stock prices will stay essentially unchanged over the next six months, decreased by 0.3...
2023-04-05 12:23:18 ET Summary JPMorgan Chase & Co. CEO Jamie Dimon produced his annual letter on Tuesday. I found this year's Dimon letter relatively disappointing for several reasons, the primary one being Mr. Dimon's failure to discuss to any degree the role of accelerating...
2023-04-04 19:14:35 ET Summary Bond yields have been dropping since March 8 when the problems at Silicon Valley Bank surfaced. The Federal Reserve responded to the problems in the banking sector, but as they did, investors put lots of money into bonds, and bond yields fell. No...
2023-04-04 11:07:43 ET Summary The National Bureau of Economic Research has indicated they particularly rely on 5 indicators: real GDP, nonfarm payrolls, industrial production, real sales, and real personal income less government transfers. Only one of these - industrial productio...
2023-04-04 10:07:00 ET Summary The expected long-run return for the Global Market Index held steady at 6.0% annualized in March. GMI represents a theoretical benchmark of the optimal portfolio for the average investor with an infinite time horizon. By contrast, GMI’s pr...
2023-04-04 07:35:00 ET Summary You can find evidence in the inflation numbers for almost any proposition you choose and there is always uncertainty in the analytical effort. We tend to look at monthly and annual inflation. This is unfortunate – a month is really too short a...
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2024-07-18 07:15:00 ET Investing in stocks can be challenging, especially when it comes to selecting individual companies. The process requires extensive research, constant monitoring, and carries substantial risk. For those seeking a simpler approach, Vanguard offers a compelling solut...
2024-06-16 13:30:00 ET Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) and Oracle (NYSE: ORCL) blasted to all-time highs on Wednesday. Apple is up over 14% in the last month -- the recent rally primarily fueled by a positive response to its annual Worldwide Developers Conference. Apple is inte...
2024-06-03 23:06:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...