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2023-07-29 08:00:00 ET Summary Long leading indicators remain very negative. Short leading indicators meanwhile have rebounded, mainly driven by indicators tied to inflation and declining commodity prices. High frequency coincident indicators, such as consumer spending, have t...
2023-07-27 19:18:45 ET Summary The Federal Reserve has been gradually increasing its policy rate of interest since March 2022, while reducing the size of its securities portfolio. This is looked on as a period of monetary tightening. However, looking at the buildup in the M2 m...
2023-07-27 07:40:59 ET Summary The inverted yield curve, which usually signals a recession, hasn't produced one yet, and a bull market seems to have started without the normal transition to a steep yield curve. This caught many investors and advisors on the wrong side of the marke...
2023-07-26 09:41:13 ET The International Monetary Fund said Tuesday that while it still sees moderating global economic growth in 2023, the slowdown will not be as dramatic as it had initially feared, with inflation coming down quicker than previously thought and expansion in developing cou...
2023-07-25 11:00:39 ET Summary A quarter-point rate rise is expected to be announced by the Federal Reserve as the 10-year breakeven inflation rate ticks to 4-month highs. There is uncertainty over a second rate increase later this year, with a more than 1-in-3 probability of a pa...
2023-07-25 10:50:30 ET Summary The S&P 500 is expensive until you pull out the Magnificent Seven. Look beyond the top 10 names in the index and you can find lots of value. The small-cap indexes are at significant discounts to their historical valuations in relationship to ...
2023-07-20 21:35:00 ET Summary Are we at or near peak yields for risk assets? The possibility is looking more likely these days. It’s notable that there’s rising confidence among economists for predicting that the Federal Reserve will lift rates one last time at the ...
2023-07-19 00:56:13 ET Summary The Federal Reserve's report on US commercial banks' assets and liabilities shows a continued decline in deposits, which could impact the sector's ability to meet loan demands. Despite a decrease in Treasury and agency investments, banks have managed...
2023-07-18 20:10:20 ET Summary The largest banks so far reporting have all benefited from the effort by the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates, and loan rates have risen much faster than deposit rates. As a result, in some pretty tough times, the largest banks are reporting i...
2023-07-17 17:51:33 ET Summary Markets roared ahead by over two percent on the week on the back of softer than expected June CPI and PPI reports. Investors are signaling they believe the Federal Reserve will achieve the much hoped for "soft landing." There are two good reasons...
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2024-07-18 07:15:00 ET Investing in stocks can be challenging, especially when it comes to selecting individual companies. The process requires extensive research, constant monitoring, and carries substantial risk. For those seeking a simpler approach, Vanguard offers a compelling solut...
2024-06-16 13:30:00 ET Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) and Oracle (NYSE: ORCL) blasted to all-time highs on Wednesday. Apple is up over 14% in the last month -- the recent rally primarily fueled by a positive response to its annual Worldwide Developers Conference. Apple is inte...
2024-06-03 23:06:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...