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Today's Treasury auction of $17 billion in a new five-year Treasury Inflation-Protected Security - CUSIP 912828ZJ2 - reflected a new reality of ultra-low yields and grim inflation expectations. Investors got a real yield to maturity of -0.320%, the lowest for any TIPS auction of this term ...
.First, there seems to be a need to debunk some persistent myths about gold and precious metal investing. And about hedged investing in general. I will sometimes disagree with the promoters of gold and at other times with the detractors. Some myths originate with world class experts such as ...
The coronavirus outbreak and the effects of COVID-19 have gone deeper and wider than most people would have expected. That applies just as much to markets as anywhere. Whether it's a tech sector that is supporting our new work from home or re-rating as expensive EV/Sales multiples make less se...
In December 2015, the US Fed pivoted from monetary policy accommodation to tightening credit for the first time since the 2008 global financial crisis. After seven years of short-term interest rates at zero percent and an unprecedented quantitative easing program that pushed interest rates low...
Big Picture Thesis Even as Americans have come to terms with the idea that the economic shutdown will have to last longer than we initially thought in order to curb the spread of COVID-19, investors continue to widely expect a V-shaped recovery. Once the all-clear is sounded, goes this view,...
One of the strangest weeks in the history of Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities ended Thursday with a beautiful result for investors: The Treasury's reopening auction of a 10-year TIPS got a real yield to maturity of 0.680%, much higher than looked likely just days ago. This is CUSIP ...
Michael Darda sent me a scary graph showing 10-year TIPS spreads (white line) and the (real) yield on 10-year TIPS (yellow line): Notice the recent sharp increase in real interest rates in the US. This is exactly what happened in late 2008. Indeed almost everything that's happened recently i...
Overview Through the great inflation period of the late 1970s and for about thirty years prior all bonds taken broadly as an asset class were widely considered to be “certificates of confiscation” The portfolio losses were persistent and seemingly endless. But near the end ...
The U.S. stock and bond markets are covered in fog this morning. Investors are up in the air and it's not safe for landing. There's my metaphor for our current condition, when even mundane and safe investments like Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities ((TIPS)) can take wild swings in just...
Investors in the [[TIP]] ETF - an index fund that holds the full range of Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities - got a big surprise this week: a stunning 6.2% drop in value amid a what appeared major "safe haven" Treasury rally. Investors value TIPS for their safety. They are a Treasury s...
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2024-07-15 10:22:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-03 23:08:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-25 01:08:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...