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Expectations for rising inflation and economic growth coming out of the pandemic has fueled surging stock prices and plummeting bond prices. But trillions of dollars of debt from unproductive spending has built up in the last year, which fundamentally impairs future economic growth. ...
Real yields of reserve currency sovereign bonds are negative and the lowest ever. Bonds have been in a 40-year bull market that has rewarded those who were long and penalized those who were short, so the bull market has produced a large number of comfortable longs who haven't gotten s...
"Runaway inflation or continued deflation?" "Rising rates or rates dropping below the zero bound?" These are just some of the questions investors are starting to ponder as the economy re-opens. The current interest rate environment is particularly complex because there are so many com...
Without a doubt, the biggest story in bond-land, if not the financial markets in general, thus far in 2021 has been the spike in the U.S. Treasury 10-year yield. At this point, the federal government's financing needs reflect the baseline trillion-dollar deficit coming into this fisca...
the market is also beginning to get concerned about rising inflation: inflation expectations over the next 5 years have risen from 0.5% last summer to now over 2.5% per year. The economy doesn't need more demand, it needs more people working and more businesses reopening. The econ...
It should be no surprise that profit-maximizing speculators will seek the best risk-adjusted returns wherever and whenever they might perceive them. While the securities lending side of the financial world can be and most often is pliable, fungible, and, at times, horrifically forgivi...
Bond yields and inflation expectations keep climbing higher, and so are stocks, at least for now. There are a few crucial moving parts, but at the end of the day, it's always the same aspect - Fed. It surely looks as if stocks don't yet fully price in higher yields, higher commodi...
As COVID-19 has spread across the globe, wreaking havoc, a financial pandemic has likewise proliferated around the world. Zombie companies, weak firms persistently unable to cover their fixed expenses with operating profits, massively increased in number in 2020. But zombie compan...
Amid ongoing debates about fiscal and monetary policy in February, global sovereign debt markets experienced a widespread sell-off for the second consecutive month. In Japan, the 10-year government bond yield climbed 11 basis points to finish at 0.16%, its highest closing point since ...
With ongoing and significant monetary and fiscal support, deflation is likely off the table at this point. If the successes of the rollout of the vaccines and fiscal stimulus are not adequate, the employment situation could stagnate. High asset, commodity, and ultimately consumer ...
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2024-07-15 10:22:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-03 23:08:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-25 01:08:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...