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Summary The Institute for Supply Management’s composite services index decreased to 54.4 percent in October, falling 2.3 points from 56.7 percent in the prior month. The index remains above the neutral 50 threshold and suggests the 29th consecutive month of expansion for th...
Summary Fed's Powell remains hawkish on rates, despite dovish overtures in statement. The Fed reiterates its intension that rates will remain high until inflation is cracked. Why rates are going to be higher for longer, even after inflation comes down. Th...
Summary Claims have fallen in eight of the last 12 weeks, but the changes over the last five weeks have been small. Continued elevated rates of price increases, an aggressive Fed tightening cycle, and fallout from the Russian invasion of Ukraine remain risks to the economic outloo...
Summary The Federal Reserve has raised the Federal Funds Rate by 75 basis points to a range of 3.75% to 4%. Chairman Powell says they have the "resolve" to stay the course until the job is done. Terminal rate targets have now moved higher while expectations for the duration of...
Summary Monetary inflation is the driver of the economic boom-bust cycle, with booms being set in motion by rapid monetary inflation and busts getting underway after the rate of new money creation drops below a critical level and/or it becomes impossible to complete projects due to re...
Summary Despite all the worries over the possibility of a recession in the quarters ahead, the stock market seems to have priced in a “soft landing” for the economy. The cyclicals-to-defensives ratio has yet to really react even to the slowdown in the economy we have...
Summary Why lending has remained strong for U.S. banks even as a recession looms. Does the Fed have to go 'too far – too fast' to tackle inflation? The signals that are causing banks to become more cautious about loan losses. Aggressive rate hikes by t...
Summary Thus far, 70% of companies beat on top line while 59% beat earnings expectations. The combination of rising interest rates, strong US dollar, and high inflation have weighed on analyst sentiment going into Q3. Corporate margin expectations are still relatively high and...
Summary For the first time in years, the “real” forward rates depicted are all positive. When the real forward rate is a positive number, it implies that the monetary policy in the medium term is restrictive. Japan has now joined the club of restrictive monetary ...
Summary The U.S. Federal Reserve delivered another supersized 75-basis-point (bps) rate hike at today’s meeting, bringing the federal funds rate to a target range of 3.75%-4.0%. Powell indicated that the Fed would consider slowing down the pace of rate hikes at its next mee...
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2024-07-25 06:33:00 ET Over the past month, the Vanguard Russell 2000 ETF (NASDAQ: VTWO) has outperformed the Vanguard S&P 500 ETF (NYSEMKT: VOO) by nearly 10 percentage points. In this video, Fool.com contributor Lou Whiteman and I discuss why small caps have done well ...
2024-07-17 05:37:00 ET Wall Street doesn't always get things right, but Tom Lee from Fundstrat Global Advisors is one analyst with a hot hand right now. He predicted the S&P 500 index would close above 4,750 in 2023, and it ended the year at 4,769. He also entered 2024 with an S&...
2024-07-05 12:08:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...