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2023-03-31 17:19:23 ET Summary March was one of the most bifurcated months we’ve seen in the last few years with the mega caps leading while small regional banks endured losses. Treasury volatility remains historically high, making the rate outlook uncertain as the Fed mull...
2023-03-30 09:14:00 ET Summary Ongoing strength in the labor market and consumer sector are on the short list of reasons why a number of forecasters have been surprised. ETI and EMI are comprised of 14 indicators that capture a broad measure of US economic activity and are include...
2023-03-28 09:56:00 ET Summary The overall systemic risk to financial markets from stresses in the banking sector appears contained, making a repeat of the 2008 crisis unlikely. Many global central banks reaffirmed their commitment to taming inflation by announcing additional rate...
2023-03-27 11:20:00 ET Summary Central banks confront the growth-inflation trade-off, with the Federal Reserve seeing recession but no rate cuts. We agree - and prefer inflation-linked bonds. Bank stocks remained under pressure last week. The two-year U.S. Treasury yield slid furt...
2023-03-25 01:37:00 ET Summary Many “recession indicators” are ringing alarm bells, from inverted yield curves to various manufacturing and production indexes. While the market is starting to price in just one additional rate hike by the Fed, the “lag effect...
2023-03-23 06:28:00 ET Summary In a closely watched decision, the Fed lifted its benchmark lending rate by 25 basis points to a range of 4.75% to 5% at the conclusion of its March policy meeting. We almost always know what the Fed is going to do on announcement day because the dat...
2023-03-23 06:00:58 ET Summary Powell's remarks were generally hawkish. In particular, he pushed back against expectations of a pivot later in 2023. Yellen's remarks threw cold water on hopes for a quick and decisive extension of insurance guarantees for all US deposits. The c...
2023-03-22 16:50:41 ET Vanguard Russell 2000 ETF ( NASDAQ: VTWO ) - $0.2177 . 30-Day SEC Yield of 1.24% as of Feb. 28. Payable Mar 28; for shareholders of record Mar 24; ex-div Mar 23. For further details see: Vanguard Russell 2000 ETF declares quarterly dist...
2023-03-21 15:02:00 ET Summary Six weeks ago, a recession forecasting model developed by a U.S. Federal Reserve analyst predicted the probability of recession in the U.S. would soon rise above 50%. Assuming the Fed follows through on hiking the Federal Funds Rate by another 0.25% ...
2023-03-21 04:20:00 ET Summary Major bank failures are occurring in the US and Europe. Bank failures are common in major recessions, and all fractional reserve banks are at risk. This banking crisis could be worse than the Great Recession. High inflation puts the Fed betwe...
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2024-07-17 05:37:00 ET Wall Street doesn't always get things right, but Tom Lee from Fundstrat Global Advisors is one analyst with a hot hand right now. He predicted the S&P 500 index would close above 4,750 in 2023, and it ended the year at 4,769. He also entered 2024 with an S&...
2024-07-05 12:08:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-30 06:08:00 ET At the start of 2024, small cap stocks were trading for their lowest price-to-book valuations compared with their large-cap counterparts in a quarter century. And the gap has widened even further, especially as mega-cap tech stocks have continued to outperform. In...