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2023-05-19 02:45:00 ET Summary Banks have been tightening their lending standards, and they plan to keep doing it throughout the rest of the year. The Senior Loan Officer Opinion Survey on Lending Practices found that bankers expect a deteriorating economic picture in 2023, both f...
2023-05-18 14:13:00 ET Summary Choppy inflation environment may leave bonds range bound. Rate hikes in Canada & U.S. a possibility in June. Fixed income a potential option for riding out recession. With inflation remaining sticky and the potential for mor...
2023-05-18 03:59:00 ET Summary There has been a lot of discussion in the media about whether the U.S. Federal Reserve can pull off a so-called soft-landing - cooling inflationary pressures without significantly hurting economic growth. The significantly restrictive monetary p...
2023-05-17 13:53:00 ET Summary Warnings that the US economy is close to the tipping point for recession have endured for months, but the expansion keeps surprising on the upside. More of the same is likely for the immediate future, and perhaps longer. Economists are debating why t...
2023-05-17 01:40:00 ET Summary We got two big data points on May 16th on the economy and both pointed to sluggish trends in growth. Retail sales and industrial production have a strong correlation with weak economic growth and both came in unusually weak last month. Industrial...
2023-05-16 16:30:00 ET Summary Federal Reserve tightening cycles, without exception, have been associated with financial crises. Tightening lending standards, which has historically led to an economic downturn, is raising the likelihood of a recession. The bank failures may ma...
2023-05-13 09:13:00 ET Summary The shortest pauses in a 30-year period were the six months time-out in 1995 and the eight month wait-and-see in 2019. The pause periods that began in 1997 and 2006, by contrast, lasted more than a year. When the Greenspan Fed began raising rates...
2023-05-10 16:06:00 ET Summary Why a potential recession hasn't arrived yet and may not be as bad as expected? The latest corporate earnings haven't been strong, but are outperforming. Why many of last year's headwinds haven't materialized for markets? The la...
2023-05-10 01:05:00 ET Summary Economists have been forecasting a recession would happen since the Federal Reserve (Fed) started raising interest rates back in March 2022. The federal funds rate has risen almost 500 basis points since last year, as the Fed has aggressively attacke...
2023-05-09 02:25:00 ET Summary It's true that the Fed is very tight and the yield curve is very inverted - both being classical precursors to recessions in the past. While some observers note with concern the unprecedented decline in the M2 money supply over the past year, I view ...
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2024-07-17 05:37:00 ET Wall Street doesn't always get things right, but Tom Lee from Fundstrat Global Advisors is one analyst with a hot hand right now. He predicted the S&P 500 index would close above 4,750 in 2023, and it ended the year at 4,769. He also entered 2024 with an S&...
2024-07-05 12:08:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-30 06:08:00 ET At the start of 2024, small cap stocks were trading for their lowest price-to-book valuations compared with their large-cap counterparts in a quarter century. And the gap has widened even further, especially as mega-cap tech stocks have continued to outperform. In...