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2023-10-06 22:17:00 ET Summary The window of weakness for stocks is closing, could this presage of a blow-off top to close out the year? The risk for stocks could again be to the upside. A constructive correction in crude oil. One: The window of weakness is closing...
2023-10-06 10:00:00 ET Summary Just when you thought it was safe to assume that the soft-landing fix was in, the bond market has thrown a wrench into the machine. Reading the latest headlines suggests that a recession in the near term is once again a high, or at least higher, risk...
2023-09-29 07:30:00 ET Summary The combination of easing inflation and a cooling labor market has fueled “soft landing” hopes among economists and Federal Reserve officials. Economic growth, the labor market, and consumer spending proved unexpectedly resilient despit...
2023-09-27 14:22:54 ET More on market strategy SPY: Possible Retracement Before Bullish Trend Resumes (Technical Analysis) SPY Vs. BND: The Untold Strategy For Timing Bonds Over Stocks Long America, Short Europe Stocks in midst of worst seasonals, but things ...
2023-09-26 10:10:00 ET Summary Late last year, and into early 2023, the crowd was all in on the inevitability of a US recession starting in the near future. As noted by CapitalSpectator.com last week, recent nowcasts from a range of sources reflect a median nowcast of 3%-plus grow...
2023-09-21 21:30:00 ET Summary The Fed’s September 2023 decision not to change interest rates highlights two problems in monetary policy: time lags and uncertainty of economic models and forecasts. The good news is that we have more non-government data sources than ever bef...
2023-09-21 21:15:00 ET Summary In life, as in investing, everything happens for a reason, or several reasons. And that holds true for the absolute and relative low valuations for small-cap stocks. At the macro level, the small-cap market turned over in 2021 and has faced the headw...
2023-09-19 21:20:00 ET Summary While some stocks may seem expensive, there are areas of opportunity that feature attractive valuations and growth catalysts. Risky assets - such as equities and high-yield credit - did not wait for the “all clear” sign from macro-land....
2023-09-19 07:30:00 ET Summary The probability the U.S. economy will experience an official period of recession has begun to recede. The Recession Probability Track shows the current probability of a recession being officially determined to have begun sometime in the next 12 month...
2023-09-15 08:15:00 ET Summary The US economy is showing progress in addressing inflation, but the Federal Reserve is likely to maintain a "higher for longer" policy. Weakness in the labor market and signs of a rebalancing may give the Fed comfort in cooling the economy and return...
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2024-07-17 05:37:00 ET Wall Street doesn't always get things right, but Tom Lee from Fundstrat Global Advisors is one analyst with a hot hand right now. He predicted the S&P 500 index would close above 4,750 in 2023, and it ended the year at 4,769. He also entered 2024 with an S&...
2024-07-05 12:08:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-30 06:08:00 ET At the start of 2024, small cap stocks were trading for their lowest price-to-book valuations compared with their large-cap counterparts in a quarter century. And the gap has widened even further, especially as mega-cap tech stocks have continued to outperform. In...