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2024-02-23 15:15:00 ET Summary Retail investors have started chasing small-cap stocks in hopes of a rate cutting cycle by the Fed and avoiding a recession. The primary economic data points continue to be very robust. Low unemployment, strong economic growth, and declining rates of...
2024-02-23 08:30:00 ET Summary With significant concentration into a few names, many interesting opportunities may be overlooked in 2024. For managers doing deep fundamental work, multiple opportunities exist across the equities landscape. One clear opportunity relates to continue...
2024-02-23 02:25:00 ET Summary The factors we are most concerned about in 2024 will move investors in a new direction. First, we are concerned about the pace of Federal Reserve (Fed) easing in 2024. If growth continues, and we avoid a recession, we believe sales growth, profitabil...
2024-02-20 10:48:00 ET Summary Every state’s economy is, in some degree, unique, although the gravitational pull of the national economy casts a long shadow. The most reliable methodology for estimating recession risk in real-time is building an ensemble model that combines...
2024-02-19 10:35:23 ET Summary The inverted yield curve, historically a reliable indicator of recession, has not yet led to an economic contraction. Economist Campbell Harvey, who developed the yield-curve indicator, acknowledged its potential inaccuracy due to inflation-adjusted ...
2024-02-11 23:58:45 ET Summary iShares Russell 2000 ETF tracks small-cap US stocks, which come with high risk and reward potential. The ETF has shown volatility and suffered from the Fed's rate hikes in 2022 but is now ready to re-take its 13-week and 52-week highs. Technical ...
2024-02-11 06:59:00 ET Summary The Fed had an FOMC meeting earlier this week, and a lot of people were saying the Fed was hawkish. I would say that the Fed was being more conservative, more cautious. It’s been a mixed bag with big tech, but nonetheless they are hitting thei...
2024-02-08 09:48:00 ET Summary The ISM manufacturing survey has been below 50 for 15 months in a row and sits today at 49.1. This survey, along with a lot of other manufacturing data and anecdotes, has been cited repeatedly by the economic bears as evidence we are heading for rece...
2024-02-08 06:35:30 ET Summary The significant presence of the technological component is the strength of the VTWG ETF. The VTWG ETF shows attractive multiples (P/E) compared to its history and compared to other RUSSELL indices, showing some discount in the price of the ETF. T...
2024-02-06 10:51:00 ET Summary The total return of the S&P 500 remains behind Treasury bills since its January 2022 peak more than two years ago. Amid the enthusiasm and now nearly unanimous consensus that recession risk is behind us, I’ll reiterate our own view: the da...
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2024-06-30 06:08:00 ET At the start of 2024, small cap stocks were trading for their lowest price-to-book valuations compared with their large-cap counterparts in a quarter century. And the gap has widened even further, especially as mega-cap tech stocks have continued to outperform. In...
2024-06-22 04:44:00 ET The Russell 2000 is a barometer for small-cap stocks. It is a subset of the broader Russell 3000 , which represents the entire U.S. stock market. Specifically, the Russell 2000 measures the performance of the 2,000 smallest stocks in the Russell 3000, which co...
2024-06-15 15:04:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...