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Summary Stock markets are still reeling from this year’s dramatic events. If equities have fallen primarily because of rising rates, the market may not yet be pricing in growing threats to company fundamentals. Similar situations unfolded in many sectors, impacting both...
Summary We believe that investors will differentiate and favor stocks based on quality factors as companies with higher-quality and growth characteristics are more likely to weather the storm. We seek to identify industries whose profits are growing at least as fast, or ideally fa...
Summary CPI reading came in ahead of expectations. Core CPI hit a new cycle high, which is pretty devastating for the "transitory" narrative. The Fed will have to continue to hike rates, putting pressure on broad equity markets, and especially on long-duration assets such as t...
Summary Among the more notable twists of this year’s raucous third quarter was the upending of the long-running underperformance of the US Growth indexes versus their Value counterparts. This recent Growth/Value tug of war has coincided with the big shifts in inflation and ...
Summary Value historically has had an edge in inflationary environments, while growth is typically preferred in a recession. With the risks of persistent inflation and impending recession both at play, we believe the best course is to build both growth and value into portfolios, a...
Summary Skewness in asset returns is a perplexing phenomenon and evokes different behavior from investors. Our theory is that skewness tends to move based on investor preferences. Investors in growth stocks may be pursuing lottery-like payouts, especially when such stocks are ...
Summary Investors are turning more and more to ETFs and less and less to mutual funds, especially ones that are unmanaged. I compared the performance of unmanaged ETFs to that of the relatively few managed ETFs at Vanguard, as well as to that of managed mutual funds. In the ma...
Summary The three most recent downturns (2000-3, 2007-9, 2020) were not garden variety corrections to economic overheating; in two of the three growth stocks, surprisingly, outperformed value stocks. The 2002-2003 recession included the dot.com crash, 2008-2009 a housing/mortgage ...
Summary There is a solid reason why we should not use past market downturns as a playbook for this one. As we get tired of hearing about the Federal Reserve's next move, it is important to know the implications of the current policy shift. I show why certain growth names, such...
Summary The sharp declines have dramatically changed the valuation landscape. Paying too high a premium for safety could backfire if market trends shift again. We believe growth stocks’ valuations are far more attractive today than they were a year ago. Active inves...
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2024-07-20 08:45:00 ET Investors employ many strategies in their attempts to beat the market, some more successful than others. But if you have enough time to let your portfolio work for you and are committed to adding more money to it every month, you don't need to beat the market to retir...
2024-07-14 09:00:00 ET It's always inspiring to hear stories about people who invested in a company and made tons of money as the company grew and succeeded. Although these stories are a testament to the power of investing, they can also be misleading. This is not because it doesn't happen ...
2024-07-05 12:12:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...