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2023-04-21 16:28:00 ET Summary Yesterday’s release of the Leading Economic Index from the Conference Board appears to settle the matter in favor of recession, but real-time analysis isn’t as clear-cut as this indicator suggests. The consultancy forecasts “econ...
2023-04-20 20:54:13 ET Summary The Fed says we will have a mild recession. Credit conditions are tightening just when the U.S. consumer needs credit the most in a decade. Recessionary trends are hinting at something bigger than mild. The last time the Fed said the recessio...
2023-04-18 14:12:00 ET Summary The suggestion in last week’s FOMC minutes that a slight recession was a possibility later this year was widely publicized. The suggestion was initially reported as the FOMC’s view, but it was quickly corrected as having been contained ...
2023-04-18 06:27:47 ET Summary SCHX is a popular large-cap focused ETF offered by Charles Schwab. Large-cap equities have significantly outperformed small and mid-caps over the past decade. SCHX records a 11.96% 10Y CAGR and pays a 1.57% dividend yield. Thesis Af...
2023-04-18 02:25:00 ET Summary If inflation ebbs and the yield curve returns to its normal upward slope rather than being inverted, we are apt to see a change out of deposits and money market funds into longer-dated investments. If inflation ebbs and the yield curve returns to its...
2023-04-17 22:18:00 ET Summary How to recognize and prioritize market road signs. The importance of a diversified portfolio. Being nimble but keeping perspective when markets become volatile. There is no shortage of mixed signals to cloud the investment lands...
2023-04-14 11:47:00 ET Summary Recession odds have climbed considerably since Jerome Powell’s testimony before Congress and the latest FOMC meeting. The Fed remains abundantly clear that it still sees inflation as a “persistent and pernicious” economic threat ...
2023-04-14 01:00:00 ET Summary Although the worst of the crisis may very well be over, you’re going to see this affect the economy through tighter lending standards. Monetary policy notoriously has long and variable lags. Dividend growers usually outperform during the e...
2023-04-13 11:45:00 ET Summary China to the rescue? The inflection in the hyperscaler capex. Commodities (copper) next in line for a potential upturn. Our take on the overly anticipated US recession - datapoints from the field. While the upcoming US recession is capt...
2023-04-13 01:57:00 ET Summary It is widely acknowledged that the Federal Reserve's monetary policy has a long and variable lag, which means that it takes time for the economy to adjust to rising or falling interest rates. Despite the most recent readings for the PMI and Conferenc...
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2024-07-14 10:45:00 ET The first half of 2024 is over, and it was pretty clear: Bigger was better. To put some numbers on that, Vanguard Large-Cap ETF (NYSEMKT: VV) rose roughly 16% over the six-month span, while Vanguard Small-Cap ETF (NYSEMKT: VB) only gained 2% or so. Tha...
2024-06-25 14:12:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-15 15:12:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...