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We think current cost-push inflation is poised to give way to a healthy, regenerative demand-pull environment, replete with moderate economic growth that is beneficial for the value companies in which we invest. History has shown moderate inflation can be good for value stocks. We con...
We noted in our quarterly letter that every brokerage house on the Street was bearish and telling its customers to expect stocks to move into a correction. We also reminded you that one of Reilly’s Rules is that when everyone expects something to happen something else usually does....
Bonds sold off again last week, with the yield on the 10-year Treasury closing over 1.6% for the first time since early June. But this rise in rates is at least a little different than the fall that preceded it. When nominal rates fell from April through July, real rates fell right al...
One of the big themes that we've seen the last few weeks is interest rates rising and value outperforming growth. Strategas' Todd Sohn examines the reemergence of cyclicality following an economic "growth scare." Todd breaks this down before taking us through some timely sector an...
The intensity of the income need only grows as investors move closer to - and enter - their retirement years. While diversified credit portfolios offer benefits, the potential drawdowns could be too much for some investors’ risk tolerances. For tax-sensitive investors, the ...
With the Nasdaq index more oversold than the S&P 500, I suspect we will see a rally shortly in these stocks, which we will use as a "selling" opportunity to reduce exposure. Both international and emerging markets are well ahead of any expected growth in the U.S. economy, so the r...
Global business cycles are closely interconnected. Global business cycles are closely synchronized. Global equity markets respond accordingly. For further details see: Investing In Foreign Markets Sounds Exciting - But Isn't Always
SH: Today we have with us Tara Sinclair, an associate professor of economics and international affairs at George Washington University and a senior fellow of the Indeed Hiring Lab. Dr. Sinclair is also a research professor at the Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH) in Germany, a...
The energy sector posted a gain during the final quarter of 2019. In Q4, energy commodities rebounded by 3.38%. In 2019, the sector was 15.11% higher than at the end of 2018. WTI and Brent crude oil posted significant gains on the year, but the prices had declined to low levels at the end of...
By Erik Knutzen The events and data of recent weeks make us want to err on the side of caution. Our Asset Allocation Committee’s quarterly Outlook will come out this week, and the headline is that members see a return to “two-tier growth.” The last time we used...
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2024-07-15 11:32:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-15 15:54:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-26 18:08:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...