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The trade war between the world’s two largest economies entered its 18th month in September with the U.S. imposing fresh 15 percent tariffs on $125 billion worth of goods imported from China. China retaliated in kind, but a breakthrough could happen sooner rather than later. According t...
Copper prices behave more deliberately than perhaps prices in other commodity markets. Like gold, it is still set by a mix of economic (meaning physical) and financial (meaning collateral and financing). Unlike gold, there doesn't seem to be any rush to get to wherever the commodity market is ...
China's State Administration of Foreign Exchange ((SAFE)) has rolled out a new set of currency controls to crack down on capital flight from China to other countries, particularly targeting real estate investments by Chinese individuals and companies. This new set of currency controls include ...
In general, Asia is holding up fairly well. The major economies are still expanding, unemployment is low, and consumers are still increasing their rate of consumption. But the trade war is clearly hurting as PMIs are either below 50 or just barely above that level. Industrial production is...
China is in the process of attempting to restructure its economy from a capital-intensive, investment-led model to a more Western-style, consumption-driven model, without the onset of a recession or crisis. This transition is made all the more difficult by the fact that the Chinese government ...
By May Ling Wee, CFA In this Q&A, May Ling Wee, a Portfolio Manager for the Chinese Equities strategy, responds to key concerns for investors in China, including the impact of trade friction; environmental, social and governance ((ESG)) factors; and demographic issues. What are your ...
By Hua Cheng It's been 20 years since a Chinese bank failed. But recent bailouts of three regional lenders have raised concerns about systemic problems in China's financial sector. While risks have grown for China's smaller banks, we believe that the Chinese banking system remains robust. ...
While everyone is talking about the risks in China, with them ratcheting up stakes in the trade war with a Yuan devaluation , and threatening troops in Hong Kong to squash protests, many in the quant space are busy analyzing the Chinese markets for investment opportunities. Now, we're not t...
As we discussed in last week's blog "Race to the Bottom", traditional means of stimulating economic growth are no longer working and are, in fact, backfiring from their real intent. Governments need to move away from reliance on any additional monetary stimulus, which clearly is not working, a...
By Edward D. Perks, CFA, Executive Vice President, Chief Investment Officer, Franklin Templeton Multi-Asset Solutions, and Gene Podkaminer, CFA, Head of Multi-Asset Research Strategies, Franklin Templeton Multi-Asset Solutions Market volatility has been on the rise as US-China trade tensio...