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Summary The US EIA Short Term Energy Outlook was published on January 10, 2023. I doubt Russian C+C output will fall as much as the EIA has forecast. The Canadian forecast looks much too high. A guest post by D Coyne The US EIA Short Term Energy Outlook (STEO) ...
Summary December was a mixed month for commodity index strategies overall. Natural gas was the strongest commodity for most index strategies. The precious metals sector was the strongest performing sector in December, rising over 5%. Natural Gas Contributes From Rebalance ...
Summary On a coincident basis, driven by a historically tight labour market and robust industrial production growth, the US economy remains deceptively strong despite negative real incomes and tight financial conditions. However, the leading indicators of the business cycle continue to ...
Summary Oil prices have kickstarted 2023 with their worst decline since 1991. With at least one-third of the global economy set to be in a recession this year, including the US, demand will continue to be suppressed. This could mitigate the expected demand boost from China. It a...
Summary I expect traditional fossil fuel energy companies to continue to excel, rising to up to 30% of the S&P 500 in the upcoming years as technology stocks continue to shrink. After the most aggressive series of rate hikes in decades, inflation is finally moderating. Whether or no...
Summary For 40 years, steadily declining inflation and interest rates buoyed equity returns. That changed abruptly last year. Investors must now adjust expectations to a new macroeconomic and market landscape that will require a fresh mindset to reach long-term goals. By...
Summary Today’s high prices may well lead to tomorrow’s low prices, and tomorrow may arrive sooner than many feared. Asynchronous reopening is set to bedevil the global economy for at least another year. Broad housing market activity during much of 2022 suggests that w...
Summary Insurance is the only equity industry without a direct link with commodities that posted a positive return in 2022. Insurance stocks profit from higher rates. We expect interest rates (and inflation) to be higher for longer. Buy the SPDR S&P Insurance ETF to profit f...
Summary U.S. October production increased by 69 kb/d to 12,381 kb/d to a new post pandemic high. Production in October 2023 is forecast to be lower than in October 2022. The big production increase in conventional crude in August 2022 is due to the massive downward revision to LTO p...
Summary Oilfield services may outperform E&P. Small-cap oil equities should catch up with large-cap. The capital allocation may be shifting from onshore/short-cycle to offshore/long-cycle. As we are bidding farewell to 2022, I wanted to share some high-level thoughts o...
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2024-07-09 10:06:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-29 10:56:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-08 20:52:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...