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Summary A recession in the United States and in Europe will be less severe than had been expected. Continued economic and military support from the West is the most critical element I think for Ukraine going forward. There's been some improvement in the tone of the relationship betw...
Summary After a year best forgotten, 2023 has started out with a bang. January was a strong month that gave equity investors a timely relief rally. While this was a welcomed development, I am concerned that equity prices are getting too disconnected from reality. We have a challenging m...
Summary U.S. November production decreased by 35 kb/d to 12,375 kb/d. Since the beginning of April 2021 through to the week ending July 29, 2022, the US added horizontal oil rigs at a rate of close to 3.82 rigs/wk, orange OLS line, and peaked at 551 rigs in the week ending July 29. ...
Summary As we head into the end of January, technical conditions in major stock indexes are showing a lot of strength. We think a bear market that could easily trim 50% from indexes is in the cards, but timing is everything. We find price action-driven measures more reliable than su...
Summary After a record-setting 2022, energy sector earnings are likely to generally decline in 2023, though forecasts point to another strong year by historical standards. Even with a year-over-year earnings decline, energy companies can continue to execute on free cash flow generation ...
Summary The energy sector has been red-hot for much of the past year, but there are still pockets in this corner that remain battered, at least in relative terms. There are no guarantees that the so-called value premium, no matter the definition, will generate superior performance anyti...
Summary The US EIA Short Term Energy Outlook was published on January 10, 2023. I doubt Russian C+C output will fall as much as the EIA has forecast. The Canadian forecast looks much too high. A guest post by D Coyne The US EIA Short Term Energy Outlook (STEO) ...
Summary December was a mixed month for commodity index strategies overall. Natural gas was the strongest commodity for most index strategies. The precious metals sector was the strongest performing sector in December, rising over 5%. Natural Gas Contributes From Rebalance ...
Summary On a coincident basis, driven by a historically tight labour market and robust industrial production growth, the US economy remains deceptively strong despite negative real incomes and tight financial conditions. However, the leading indicators of the business cycle continue to ...
Summary Oil prices have kickstarted 2023 with their worst decline since 1991. With at least one-third of the global economy set to be in a recession this year, including the US, demand will continue to be suppressed. This could mitigate the expected demand boost from China. It a...
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2024-07-09 10:06:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-29 10:56:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-08 20:52:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...