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By FS Staff It increasingly looks like we have seen a bottom in global leading economic indicators (LEIs) and Purchasing Managers' Indices (PMIs). Source: Bloomberg, Financial Sense Wealth Management Source: Bloomberg, Financial Sense Wealth Management. Note: Past performance is no gu...
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By J. Patrick Bradley Introduction Fall is a great time to visit the nation's capital, Washington, D.C., and it also marks the time when the Institute for International Finance ((IIF)) holds its annual membership meeting, as well as the annual meetings of the International Monetary Fund ...
Something very interesting is happening right now in global equities, and most people have probably missed it. A set of unique indicators have put in some rare signals that are usually only seen at the start of a bull market. That's right, you heard me: it looks like a new bull market is und...
Has growth reached a tipping point? According to our latest Equity Manager Report , growth managers in most regions have expressed concern overextended valuations - particularly regarding some tech and consumer names. These growth managers have become more selective as a result, reducing expo...
The VanEck NDR Managed Allocation Fund ([[NDRMX]]) tactically adjusts its asset class exposures each month across global stocks, U.S. fixed-income, and cash. It utilizes an objective, data-driven process driven by macroeconomic, fundamental, and technical indicators developed by Ned Davis Re...
By Philip Lawlor, Managing Director, Head of Global Markets Research Equity factors made a dramatic U-turn in September, capturing the mercurial and rapidly shifting appraisal of economic prospects across global markets. But we think it's too early to call this a regime change. As the ch...
By Tobias Adrian, Financial Counsellor and Director of the IMF's Monetary and Capital Markets Department and Fabio M. Natalucci, Deputy Director of the Monetary and Capital Markets Department The pace of global economic activity remains weak, and financial markets expect rates to stay lowe...
By Gita Gopinath, Economic Counsellor and Director of the Research Department at IMF The global economy is in a synchronized slowdown and we are, once again, downgrading growth for 2019 to 3 percent, its slowest pace since the global financial crisis. Growth continues to be weakened by ris...
By Erik Knutzen The events and data of recent weeks make us want to err on the side of caution. Our Asset Allocation Committee’s quarterly Outlook will come out this week, and the headline is that members see a return to “two-tier growth.” The last time we used...