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2023-04-20 13:09:00 ET Summary We see that the 10s/2s has been inverted since roughly July 2022, while the 10s/3mo (historically the more accurate indicator of recessions) inverted in October. The consensus is that 2023 will witness a decline in corporate earnings as economic acti...
2023-04-12 00:08:00 ET Summary A negative US 10-year minus 3-month yield spread has signalled every incoming recession of the last 60 years. In the real world, global PC shipments were -29% year over year in the first quarter, and the average work week in March’s payroll re...
2023-03-20 15:49:35 ET Invesco SmallCap Value with Momentum ETF ( NYSEARCA: XSVM ) - $0.1175 . 30-Day SEC Yield of 1.15% as of Mar 17. Payable Mar 24; for shareholders of record Mar 21; ex-div Mar 20. For further details see: Invesco SmallCap Value with Momen...
2023-03-15 23:05:00 ET Summary After more than 12 long years, the stage may finally be set for an extended upswing in small-caps. When leadership concentration broke down in previous cycles, we saw multiyear periods where small caps outperformed large caps. In the current cycl...
Summary The National Bureau of Economic Research takes time to define periods of economic expansion and contraction - and they do so in hindsight; equity markets are not trading based on these characterizations. The low degree of difference between the S&P 500 Index and the WisdomTr...
Summary The iShares S&P Small-Cap 600 Value ETF invests based on the S&P SmallCap 600 Value Index. The Invesco S&P SmallCap Value with Momentum ETF invests based on the S&P SmallCap 600 High Momentum Value Index. Both ETFs and their respective index are reviewed. I t...
Summary After years of strong returns, 2022 was the worst year for global equities since the 2008 financial crisis. This trend is evident in the recent increase in securities lending activity, the mechanism which enables short selling. In December 2022 alone, the iShares Russell 200...
Summary As economies both in the United States and globally weaken with tighter monetary policies, corporate earnings are coming under greater pressure. Without exception, in the 24 months prior to a recession, large caps outperformed small caps. Higher-quality investments did not m...
Summary Tightening monetary policy drove rising 10-year Treasury bond yields and pressured equity valuations in 2022. Interest rates will drive the market environment, to some extent, according to our U.S. growth and core equity and U.S. value equity teams. Given the lagged impact, ...
Summary Past episodes of debt ceiling histrionics have resulted in temporary government shutdowns. With both sides seemingly dug in, a repeat of the 2011 episode cannot be ruled out. In 2010, republicans controlled the House and demanded that President Obama negotiate over deficit r...
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2024-06-25 19:06:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-15 20:08:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...